Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #scenarios

Most recents (17)

ZBF release finally draws closer (zero2050usa.com). We have been working to get the data/report out & understandable. Here is a short thread with some interesting observations that we made. First, here is a cheat sheet for our scenarios (a wide spread of possibilities)
First, we find that scenarios have huge amounts of #wind & #solar. We also find that deployment rates for these (& #storage) must dramatically increase to reach our goals (with and without novel generation).
This becomes increasingly important for limited technology cases & huge for #storage in terms of energy capacity.
Read 17 tweets
Une trajectoire 100 % #EnR permettrait de diviser par deux la consommation de #gaz de notre #mix #électrique

Dans les #scénarios #RTE : le gaz décarboné ne répond qu’à 2 à 3 % de la demande électrique totale

👇THREAD👇
C’est quelque chose que l’on entend souvent à propos des énergies renouvelables électriques (EnR), celles-ci ont besoin d’un back-up constitué de centrales à gaz pour faire face aux périodes sans vent ni soleil.
Les EnR auraient ainsi ceci de paradoxal : bien que déployées pour lutter contre le réchauffement climatique, elles renforceraient notre dépendance au gaz fossile.
Read 25 tweets
1. As the picture is slowly becoming clearer, I have now decided to write a longer thread about what is happening in my country. It is based on conversations with my family in #Almaty, existing (incomplete information) in various media from #Kazakhstan and people I trust.
2. It is important to understand that there are two processes going on in Kazakhstan: social protests of the people who are fed up with the existing injustice, inequality, corruption and kleptocracy and at the same time a power struggle between the two clans:
3. Clan of ex-President Nursultan #Nazarbayev , who ruled the country for 30 years, and current President #Tokayev, who took over the presidency in 2019, but political power has nevertheless remained with Nazarbayev and his clan
Read 17 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 09/14/2021 greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2021/09/14/dai…
Scientists scramble to harvest ice cores as glaciers melt

reuters.com/lifestyle/scie…

#IceCores #GlacierMelt #ClimateChange #GlobalWarming
Beware the ‘multi-demic:’ Masking this fall will fight more than COVID-19

fastcompany.com/90674460/twind…

#masking #COVID19 #flu #PublicHealth
Read 8 tweets
If you are at #RSS2021Conf this morning, check out our invited session on Contagious disease #statistics and #misinterpretation of #COVID dynamics and data with @AdamJKucharski and @AyisSalma
11:40am, Exchange 10
First speaker is @AyisSalma, reflecting on the subtle but important difference of what we think and what data are.
#COVID19 statistics are easily misinterpreted Image
Statistical anomalies in calculations of #COVID19 infections and deaths meant it appeared that no-one ever recovered!
And these figures influenced government #publichealth decisions Image
Read 11 tweets
1/210: Markus Kerber's Apollo 13

In March 2020, the German Ministry of the Interior @BMI_Bund issued a #strategypaper that weaponized fear in order to accomplish compliance with #COVID policies. The authors' emails were litigated under #FOIA request. My analysis. #MEGATHREAD ⬇️ Image
2/210: The @BMI_Bund emails have been released to the public as they were successfully sued by lawyer Niko Härting in a FOIA proceeding. They can be requested directly from @BMI_Bund/ @rki_de via @fragdenstaat. Download it here: bit.ly/3knoa6Y bit.ly/3Bd0rgj Image
3/210: The emails originated March 19-25, 2020. They are so explosive because they map the inner discourse of the @BMI_Bund's now infamous #COVID-19 taskforce, which produced several crucial domestic policy documents. bit.ly/2TT3R7O @OttoKolbl
Read 210 tweets
It's been a busy few days/weeks/months modelling steps 2, 3 and 4 of the #roadmap out of lockdown in England, with my #ateam @_nickdavies @markjit and John Edmunds. A 🧵 on our latest work looking at #step4 🪜👩‍💻 and a #photodump of some nice things I saw along the way A photograph of the West pier and Brighton beach with low ti
We project the dynamics of #SARSCoV2 transmission in England using an #agestructured #transmission #model which divides the population into vaccine states and disease states. The model has compartments for three #COVID19 variants (OG, #alpha and #delta) and 2 two-dose vaccines 💉 An illustration of the age-structured compartmental transmis
To capture changes in behaviour (➡️ the amount people mix in the model), we use historic #mobilitydata and make assumptions about what might happen to mobility when policies are implemented, e.g. #step4 🍀 We make low, medium and high assumptions to account for uncertainty... ⭐️ Figures showing google mobility data between January 2020 an
Read 11 tweets
1/Today, we launch a new project: defining & analysing a series of global & country-level #ParisAgreement-compatible #decarbonisation benchmarks, across four major sectors: #Power, #Transport, #Industry, #Buildings, each w benchmarks for several indicators bit.ly/CAT_PSR1 Image
2/ We've derived 2030 & 2050 sectoral benchmarks for seven countries: #Brazil, #China, #EU, #India, #Indonesia, #SouthAfrica, the #US, taking into account each country's technical, infrastructure & economic circumstances #decarbonisation. Summary report: bit.ly/CAT_PSRsum
3/ Our benchmarks are at a level of “highest plausible ambition" - technically, economically feasible, consider existing infrastructure, ensure they push the boundaries on all levels, & increase our chances of meeting the #ParisAgreement #1o5C limit bit.ly/CAT_PSRsum
Read 5 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 6/14/2020-2

greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2020/06/14/dai…

Americapox: The Missing Plague - YouTube



#America #Europe #epidemic
Mutation Allows Coronavirus to Infect More Cells, Study Finds. Scientists Urge Caution. - The New York Times

nytimes.com/2020/06/12/sci…

#mutation #coronavirus
The American Press Is Destroying Itself - Reporting by Matt Taibbi

taibbi.substack.com/p/the-news-med…

#press #decline
Read 7 tweets
A key purpose of futures practice is to invest thought in possible contingencies, so that when something unexpected suddenly happens you are better prepared.

COVID-19 is a vivid illustration of both the importance and the limits of foresight. Let me tell you a story.

<thread>
This story is about how the first serious game funded by the CDC came about –– a near-future pandemic simulation, back in 2009 –– and how it was overtaken by real events. And what we learned from that. /2
In 2007, my colleague @dunagan23 (now at @iftf) and I were both grads in the futures program at the Uni of Hawaii at Manoa. We had already designed and run immersive scenarios (set in the year 2050) to engage lawmakers and public in the state’s sustainability planning process. /3
Read 42 tweets
Read 29 tweets
I'm only halfway through Bertrand Meyer's 2014 book, "Agile! The Good, the Hype and the Ugly", but it's already proven its worth as a lucid, unrestrained appraisal of #Agile principles and methodologies. Here are a few passages that resonated with me...
"#XP's insistence that [pair programming] should be the absolute rule [...] makes little sense conceptually, as it neglects the role of programmer personality (some excellent developers like to concentrate alone and will resent having to be paired) [...]"
"Starting any significant software project (anything beyond a couple of months and a couple of developers) without taking the time to write some basic document defining core requirements is professional malpractice."
Read 19 tweets

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