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1/n Extreme social distancing (SD) causes social and economic disruption. It is difficult to sustain and should be as brief as possible. In this preprint, #Seattleflustudy took a clever approach and modeled the effect of SD during an extreme weather event. medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
2/n They used data from pts tested for respiratory virus before and after heavy Seattle snowfall event Feb 2019. They estimated infections averted by simulating transmission of 9 viruses with/without reduced weather-related contact rates.
3/n They found that weather-related social distancing had the greatest impact for viruses that were near seasonal peak, with final attack rates reduced by about 7-9%. In contrast, there was little effect for viruses that peaked later in the season.
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