Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #sgtf

Most recents (3)

Greater than Titan!

Seems like BA.2.75 has the potential to outcompete BA.5*/BA.4* and other circulating BA.2 lineages

Early days but growth advantage will be clear in a couple of weeks.
Growth advantage estimates BA.2.75 vs BA.5*:…
Growth advantage estimates BA.2.75 vs BA.2.38*:…
Read 7 tweets
Der Anteil #vermeintlichesAlpha hat sich in #Niedersachsen noch einmal verdoppelt - liegt jetzt 20mal so hoch wieBundesschnitt.. Bei Gesamtgenomsequenzierungen wurde weiterhin Deutschlandweit kein #Alpha gefunden
➡️#Omicron Verdachtsfälle. #SGTF
Mini-🧵 Image
Auch das @rki_de erläutert im Wochenbericht die Deletion im S-Gen und fordert dazu auf, diese (⏫) #Omicron Verdachtsfälle zu #sequenzieren.
Also @NdsLandesReg @Daniela_Behrens @MpStephanWeil : Worauf noch warten??
PS: Später wird es heißen "Days since >1 %", schon nah dran. Image
Tabelle #VermeintlichesAlpha für alle Bundesländer:
Erneut: Daten aus den VOC_VOI_Tabellen vom 19.08. bis 02.12.21 zusammengetragen. #Omicron #SGTF
Orange wieder: Denkwürdige Veränderungen, vgl. Ursprünglicher Thread + 2.Bild.
(… ) ImageImage
Read 13 tweets
It's been a busy few days/weeks/months modelling steps 2, 3 and 4 of the #roadmap out of lockdown in England, with my #ateam @_nickdavies @markjit and John Edmunds. A 🧵 on our latest work looking at #step4 🪜👩‍💻 and a #photodump of some nice things I saw along the way A photograph of the West pier and Brighton beach with low ti
We project the dynamics of #SARSCoV2 transmission in England using an #agestructured #transmission #model which divides the population into vaccine states and disease states. The model has compartments for three #COVID19 variants (OG, #alpha and #delta) and 2 two-dose vaccines 💉 An illustration of the age-structured compartmental transmis
To capture changes in behaviour (➡️ the amount people mix in the model), we use historic #mobilitydata and make assumptions about what might happen to mobility when policies are implemented, e.g. #step4 🍀 We make low, medium and high assumptions to account for uncertainty... ⭐️ Figures showing google mobility data between January 2020 an
Read 11 tweets

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