Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #shortfall

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#WEF & Prince of Wales: The Green Horizon Summit: Nov. 9-11 2020. Attended by 2500. Led by 100+ corporate & climate "leaders" including "Prince" Charles, UN's Guterres, Lagarde, Carney, BlackRock, etc.

#GreatReset
#FinancializationOfNature
#SavingCapitalism

Thread/highlights
Let's start w/ the ruling class imperative to rebrand #capitalism (Oct, 23, 2020) - in order to save it.

Schwab: "At the forefront [we need] to create a new model,
a new concept, a new definition of capitalism...

Schwab, continued: "the old definition comprises only financial capital. But actually human & social capital, [] & of course natural capital - is as important as financial capital."

#GreatReset

#CorporateCoup of the #Commons

#NewDealForNature

#VoiceForThePlanet
Read 19 tweets
1/ Shortfall analysis

In #risk a powerful concept named #shortfall analysis works very well as for building financial models for #founders and #startups.

It's a bit of a mind bender the first time you read it but has interesting applications once you understand it.
2/ Imagine an important business metric.

Let's say customers order. Link that to an equally important performance measure. Profit & Loss (PnL).

The two are clearly linked.

How would you stress test or sensitivity test them? For an internal planning meeting? For a money pitch?
3/ There are 3 models you can pick for a stress test.

a) What could be our worst case loss if PnL turns negative?

b) What is the probability of a negative PnL?

c) How much do customers orders need to drop for us to hit the red zone?
Read 8 tweets

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