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Let's update the map of how things currently look. With an absolutely mammoth column of Russian tanks - 64km long - headed towards Kyiv, the answer is increasingly grim. 😢
This is Phase 2 now. With Russia changing strategy, using thermobaric weapons and pouring forces in.
This is Phase 2 now. With Russia changing strategy, using thermobaric weapons and pouring forces in.
Forces which are likely to be better trained, better resourced and more experienced.
A couple of days ago, I mentioned Russia's obvious aim of land access from the breakaway areas in the east to Crimea. They're getting closer to achieving that now.
A couple of days ago, I mentioned Russia's obvious aim of land access from the breakaway areas in the east to Crimea. They're getting closer to achieving that now.
But focus in particular on the Dnieper River, one of the largest in Europe. That river splits Ukraine in half.
It seems to me that Putin's plan is very likely to involve annexing the whole eastern half of Ukraine - with Kyiv put under siege until the government surrenders.
It seems to me that Putin's plan is very likely to involve annexing the whole eastern half of Ukraine - with Kyiv put under siege until the government surrenders.
