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What is wrong with Ontario's latest approach to COVID?
It is #So1stWave. Emerging from the first wave, we were happy we survived it, and thought that if we could just keep case counts reasonably low or prevent hospitals or ICUs from being overwhelmed, we would win the battle.
It is #So1stWave. Emerging from the first wave, we were happy we survived it, and thought that if we could just keep case counts reasonably low or prevent hospitals or ICUs from being overwhelmed, we would win the battle.
This is the ExCUSE (Examples of Canada, US, and Europe) approach. The govt. released their new plan predicated on this thinking. If I were to bet, it was conceived over 6 weeks ago (i.e. around Sept. 23). To remind you, this was ExCUSE total deaths and cases 6 weeks ago.
I will focus on 2 countries to demonstrate what happens when you take a #So1stWave approach. We will start with Belgium (pop 11.5m), using data from @OurWorldInData and Belgium's National Science Institute: epistat.wiv-isp.be/covid/covid-19…. Here was where they were Sep 23. <4 deaths/d.
