Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #stalemate

Most recents (4)

[ threadūüßĶ]

Is a protracted #stalemate burgeoning in Libya?

PM #Bashagha took his oath in Tobruk a month ago‚ÄĒ& he still hasn‚Äôt swept into office or begun governing.

He himself told the media about the physical act of #entering Tripoli ‚Äúw/in days‚ÄĚ, but that hasn‚Äôt happened yet.
Bashagha & his ministers entering Tripoli soon is w/in the realm of the possible.

But the thing is, That won’t necessarily be enough to discard Dabaiba.

I.e., entering Tripoli won’t necessarily put an end to the current crisis.

A slew of profound issues are still outstanding.
A big chunk of opinion & sentiment in both Tripoli & Misrata remains skeptical about Bashagha.

Latter has been making a bit of progress but there’s still a gap.

Plus, the passage of time alone isn’t doing all that work for free, *no matter* how isolated & weak Dabaiba looks.
Read 10 tweets
1) This article represents the predominant view of military analysts of Russia's invasion of #Ukraine: a #STALEMATE, likely to last for months absent a negotiated settlement. It's also one of the best summaries of the military situations I've seen.

tinyurl.com/27ef9xbv
2) Of course circumstances could change, and the Russians could find a way to win. At the same time, it's also possible that the Russian force could collapse, and the Ukrainians could defeat them. But these are less likely scenarios than a long-term stalemate. #UkraineInvasion
3) That said, military analysis of this war has fallen short since the get-go. Almost all the "experts" predicted a quick victory for the Russians, but they were thoroughly wrong. #UkraineInvasion
Read 5 tweets
#BIN Yo voy a resumir una nota en #ALNav√≠o, con la "nueva" posici√≥n de Europa y Josep Borrell, canciller de Espa√Īa y nuevo alto representante de pol√≠tica exterior de la #Uni√≥nEuropea. Esto no le gustar√° ni a Guaid√≥, ni a papa Leopoldo ni a los imb√©ciles. Reclamen a Borrell...
#BIN Me parece que, en este momento, luego de un a√Īo de estancamiento #stalemate y del estrepitoso fracaso del "fen√≥meno" Guaid√≥, casi todos los pa√≠ses europeos (o el bloque) est√°n reconsiderando su posici√≥n, sobre todo por lo hecho por Trump, a posteriori y por el #Brexit...
#BIN 1. Como alto representante de pol√≠tica exterior de #UE, Borrell ratifica la posici√≥n que tuvo como canciller de Espa√Īa: no reconocer a Guaid√≥ y oponerse, ahora con m√°s raz√≥n, a las sanciones de Trump. Esto no es de extra√Īar, Repsol (Espa√Īa), junto a Rosneft , desafi√≥ a Trump
Read 17 tweets
#BIN La pregunta del d√≠a: ¬ŅA qui√©n debe ser leal y con qui√©n puede ser traidor un militar? ¬ŅCon un dictador o con la Constituci√≥n y el pa√≠s?
Yo quiero aprovechar esa pregunta para desarrollar un peque√Īo hilo con elucubraciones propias, a las que tengo derecho. Aviso a los pendejos que solo esperan predicciones que no las hago, no tengo ese poder y, si lo tuviera, no las har√≠a gratuitas. Solo uso mi libertad y an√°lisis
#BIN Cuando digo #elucubraciones, no digo habladera de pendejadas, sino hipótesis y reflexiones mías, producto de mi meditación. Quizás no gusten a las "románticas" de las políticas, prefiero ser honesto conmigo mismo y auténtico en mis análisis...
Read 18 tweets

Related hashtags

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!