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Short thread on #covid19NL

The #Netherlands has around 84 Intensive Care Units. Each of these has on average 15 beds. That makes around 1.260 beds. The percentage of cases who need ICU over active cases of Coronavirus in the world is currently 12,5% on average. 1/5
Assuming that rate will hold in the Netherlands at steady state, the Dutch ICU capacity will be saturated as we approach 10K active cases in the country. If the virus here spreads at the same speed as in Italy, that will happen around the 25th of March, 15 days from now. 2/5
Saturated ICU means doctors will have to choose who to save and who to let die. It also means a higher likelihood of death in case of a heart attack, a car accident, or any other situation requiring ICU. 3/5
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