Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #stratifiedlockdown
Most recents (2)
1/ Five months ago I asked about a #stratifiedlockdown to handle #COVID19.
The idea was to restrict lockdowns to people over age 50 or with preexisting conditions while the rest of society lives a relatively normal life.
Time to revisit this approach.
The idea was to restrict lockdowns to people over age 50 or with preexisting conditions while the rest of society lives a relatively normal life.
Time to revisit this approach.
2/ No country has explicitly adopted a #stratifiedlockdown, but many have implicitly defaulted into some version of it.
That is, governments haven't ordered older people and their cohabitants to stay home, but they do recommend those in vulnerable groups to be extremely careful.
That is, governments haven't ordered older people and their cohabitants to stay home, but they do recommend those in vulnerable groups to be extremely careful.
3/ As a result:
Many older people have chosen to live in a soft lockdown: no venturing into public spaces unless strictly necessary, few visits with relatives, regular use of face masks.
Many young people, feeling at low risk, have reverted to pre-pandemic social interactions.
Many older people have chosen to live in a soft lockdown: no venturing into public spaces unless strictly necessary, few visits with relatives, regular use of face masks.
Many young people, feeling at low risk, have reverted to pre-pandemic social interactions.
Europe and US in total or partial lockdown to mitigate #COVID19.
Soon more hundreds of millions will be confined to their homes. Huge personal sacrifices. Staggering economic losses.
Ok, we accept the price for the common good. But how does this end? Here are some strategies:
Soon more hundreds of millions will be confined to their homes. Huge personal sacrifices. Staggering economic losses.
Ok, we accept the price for the common good. But how does this end? Here are some strategies:
1) Develop a vaccine and vaccinate.
If a sufficiently high % of the population is vaccinated and becomes somewhat immune, this “herd immunity” lowers the probability of transmission to a susceptible person until the epidemic dies out.
Ideal but unlikely to happen soon enough.
If a sufficiently high % of the population is vaccinated and becomes somewhat immune, this “herd immunity” lowers the probability of transmission to a susceptible person until the epidemic dies out.
Ideal but unlikely to happen soon enough.
2) Lift lockdown (after curve flattens) and let the epidemic run its natural course without protective measures.
This brings back the scenario that lockdowns are trying to avoid: millions of people dying without adequate medical attention in overrun health systems.
A no-no.
This brings back the scenario that lockdowns are trying to avoid: millions of people dying without adequate medical attention in overrun health systems.
A no-no.
