Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #teampanic
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Imagine, a country is doing rapid tests on the whole population.
Everyone who tests + (or refuses to test) has to isolate. After a week, they repeat the routine.
If the test&isolate theory works roughly as expected, we will find only a few sporadic cases afterward, right?
/1
Everyone who tests + (or refuses to test) has to isolate. After a week, they repeat the routine.
If the test&isolate theory works roughly as expected, we will find only a few sporadic cases afterward, right?
/1
#Slovakia used this approach.
This is a dream come true for the pro lockdown "experts" of #TeamPanic.
If everything we learned about the importance of track, trace, and isolate, this should be the super nuclear weapon for Covid19.
It wasn´t.
/2
This is a dream come true for the pro lockdown "experts" of #TeamPanic.
If everything we learned about the importance of track, trace, and isolate, this should be the super nuclear weapon for Covid19.
It wasn´t.
/2
In Slovakia, cases haven´t vanished. They are still there and follow the same pattern as other EU countries.
Again, our ideas of viral transmission are too simple.
If this superweapon doesn´t work, it sheds a light on the effectiveness of more unfocused TTI strategies.
/3end
Again, our ideas of viral transmission are too simple.
If this superweapon doesn´t work, it sheds a light on the effectiveness of more unfocused TTI strategies.
/3end
1/ MAJOR THREAD on my chart again
I have found the magnitude and (primarily) Gompertz shape of the C19 virus deaths for the US is entirely comparable/ consilient with the 1957 and 1968 flu pandemics by researching historical flu data. is.gd/mitflu
@EthicalSkeptic
I have found the magnitude and (primarily) Gompertz shape of the C19 virus deaths for the US is entirely comparable/ consilient with the 1957 and 1968 flu pandemics by researching historical flu data. is.gd/mitflu
@EthicalSkeptic
2/ While there isn't great detailed mortality data on the 1918 pandemic -- and there are some interesting questions like how many died of *recommended* aspirin overdoses! -- there is US monthly data on the more recent 1957 and 1968 pandemics.
3/ Both eyeballing these curves and the totals numbers suggest we are experiencing with C19 (red) something very similar to 1957 (green) and 1968 (blue) for which there were no lockdowns and minimal economic damage.
