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Here is my released $RBLX Roblox Due-Diligence Writeup for it's upcoming IPO on Wednesday of next week (March 10th)

Please read the disclaimer in the report!

I do welcome any and all feedback you have below!

#DueDiligence #TradeIdeas #IPO #Roblox #TradingTip Image
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Read 6 tweets
I have a pretty good record of placing highly profitable trades. The market is dominated by HFT and algos that both start and extinguish trends. I'm successful bc I have the same algos so I have a better idea of when trends are starting and when they're weakening.

I place mostly swing trades with naked calls in bull markets, that typically take a few days to a few weeks to play out. While the algorithms show pretty accurately when a stock is peaking and getting ready to correct...

in this kind of market the bulls can keep pushing the price higher than anyone expects, so its very difficult to time tops -- and much of the time the correction is smaller and slower than expected, which makes it difficult to profit with puts.

Read 9 tweets
My model suggests FV multiple NTM of 16.5x
It could be higher with further FED action :
Implementation of US CSPP and or YCC which could raise that to as much as 20x imo
Other bullish signal involve oil mkts and i've discussed them extensively.
The FV is lower than my previous one because it seems that Governors across the US are responding (imo) in an unnecessarily emotional way by curtailing all economic activity. I adhere to the "natural way" here of dealing with epidemics cf UK/Netherlands so far.
GS Suggested an EPS FY20 of 110, this is now my working assumption. Contrary to what i've suggested last week, there will be no plazza acc. because china will refuse it citing the JP experience. i expect the $ to keep strengthening throughout the whole stress episode until
Read 7 tweets

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