Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #transdniestria

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Various signs, such as explosions, shelling of state security building & statement by #Russia military commander, suggest that pro-Russian separatist #Transdniestria in #Moldova & #Russian troops there can enter #RussiaUkraineWar.
#UkraineRussianWar #Transnistria #Ukraine️war
My dissertation-based "Cleft Countries" book analyzed pro-Western vs pro-Russian regional divides, separatism & conflicts in #Ukraine and #Moldova, in particular, in #Crimea, #Donbas, #Transdniestria & Gagauzia.

#Russia #UkraineRussianWar #RussiaUkraine
cup.columbia.edu/book/cleft-cou…
Read 13 tweets
Different signals on the future of #Transnistria/#Transdniestria #Moldova as the Ukraine war continues. Russia military commander Rustam Minnekayev, quoted in today’s Kommersant, says Russia's war aim is to establish total control over south of Ukraine.
kommersant.ru/doc/5318738
That means, establishing a land bridge to Crimea, crippling Ukraine's economy--and also linking up, he says, to Transdniestria “where facts are recorded of the oppression of the Russian-language population” (By whom? we might ask.)
The population of Trandniestria itself do not seem to have got the memo. A report here three days ago that increasing numbers of Transdniestrians are applying for Moldovan citizenship and the total number is now at 338,000
newsmaker.md/rus/novosti/v-…
Read 5 tweets
1 A long🧵on the situation in #Transdniestria/#Transnistria, misconceptions and fears that it could turn into a new front in the war.
My main point is there's a shared interest both in Transdniestria (TN) and in right-bank Moldova in stopping the conflict from reaching them.
2 In the end if Russian advance continues to Odessa spread of the conflict to Moldova is quite likely. But internationals should bear in mind that TN is far from eager to be Russia’s helper against Ukraine. It's more complex and to suggest so fans conflict.
3 I spoke to a few people in Chisinau and Tiraspol in last few days. Quick wake-up call came when 8 missiles destroyed Vinnytsia airport and reports said they came from TN. Moldova's MOD quickly denied this. (They were probably fired from Black Sea.)
Read 23 tweets
Out today with @ZOiS_Berlin! #Abkhazia, #Transdniestria and northern #Cyprus have universities, academics and students. Due to non-recognition policies, they are cut off from academic exchange and European projects such as Erasmus+. zois-berlin.de/fileadmin/medi… 1/4
This is a waste of talent, a loss of intellectual dialogue. and a missed opportunity in conflict resolution. But overcoming this learning gap will not be easy.
My report with Sabine von Lowis of ZOIS is the fruit of more than two years’ work in the three places. 2/4
Abkhazia and TN are isolated, with archaic Soviet-era HE institutions. Northern Cyprus has embarked on a problematic unregulated commercialization of its HE sector. It now has c100,000 students, more students per capita than any territory in the world, many from Africa. 3/4 Image
Read 4 tweets
I'm at #Eap10. Some thoughts on conflicts
1. Release of joint statement on 10th anniversary of #EasternPartnership unfortunately blocked by Baku as no reference to “territorial integrity.” Georgia, Moldova, Ukraine would also have liked this but were prepared to live without it.
Image
2. As ever, NK conflict is spoiler. Omit reference to “territorial integrity” and you offend Az, mention it, you offend Armenia. This has been going at least since 1996 OSCE Lisbon Summit. Old protracted conflict not only hurts locals, it's a poison seeping far beyond.
Read 8 tweets

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