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TrackRecord's Market Musings😎: 5 Risk Factors We See Affecting Markets Leading Up To Nov 3rd Elections.
Thread Below ⬇️
Thread Below ⬇️
1⃣: China Blacklists: China is threatening to blacklist US companies in retaliation for Huawei, Tiktok and Wechat bans. For now, China seems to be waiting till the next President is confirmed...
... Chinese consumer and manufacturing base is still key for some Big Tech U.S. companies. And Big Tech makes up a sizable portion of U.S. market capitalization.
1/TrackRecord's Market Observation of the Day 💭: Quad Witching Friday
Quadruple witching occurs on the third Friday of the month of every quarter (highest volatility occurs in the last hour of trading between 3:00pm - 4:00pm EST) , in March, June, September, and December.
Quadruple witching occurs on the third Friday of the month of every quarter (highest volatility occurs in the last hour of trading between 3:00pm - 4:00pm EST) , in March, June, September, and December.
2/It refers to the simultaneous expiration of single-stock options, single-stock futures, and stock-index options and stock-index futures which are settled at 4:00 p.m. Eastern Time.
3/Options volumes tend to be particularly elevated during quad-witching periods, which may also account for some of the choppiness anecdotally associated with September as the worst-performing month (for stock markets).
1/TrackRecord's Market Observation of the Day 💭: Does Fundamentals or Positioning Drive Prices?
There’s hardly been any significant headlines in the last few days, but markets have been moving quite actively.
There’s hardly been any significant headlines in the last few days, but markets have been moving quite actively.
2/This is the best time to try to figure out what the speculators and investors are positioned in the market.
Every sell-off in the Nasdaq has been brief, and the recovery, swift. This implies a market that is not fully invested and that dip-buyers are still strongly in control
Every sell-off in the Nasdaq has been brief, and the recovery, swift. This implies a market that is not fully invested and that dip-buyers are still strongly in control
3/The USD has strengthened from the lows despite a strong equity market (which usually leads to a weaker USD due to a strong risk sentiment), and US yields retracing from recent highs.
TrackRecord's Market Observation of the Day 💭: Getting “Trumped”
1/Trump is a media and situational extraordinaire, turning compromising situations into winning propositions for himself.
1/Trump is a media and situational extraordinaire, turning compromising situations into winning propositions for himself.
2/He did it in the last election and Nov 3, 2020 is setting up to be another tight showdown should the riots and civil unrest in America continues. There is a gradual shift in the electorate sentiment, with Trump cutting into the lead of Democratic rival, Joe Biden.
3/The cause for Trump’s resurgence could be the huge riots incited by the Left - turning into an unofficial Civil War. This bucked the Biden trend and changed the narrative as it now paints Trump supporters and himself as the lesser evil.
Trading is not complex. In fact, it is relatively simple. These days, anyone with an internet connection and a bit of money can readily open a trading account and start clicking away.
However, simple as it may be, it isn’t easy. If it was easy, millions of retail traders, who have picked up trading from watching a few YouTube videos or reading a few books, would be raking it in. Much like the fact that most people know that to be healthy and fit, one needs..
to eat healthy and nutritious food and do some form of exercise regularly. How many people though have the stomach (pun intended) to do this on a regular basis?
The way to become successful at trading is also not complex.
The way to become successful at trading is also not complex.
In trading, much like in life, expect to suffer setbacks. If you do not know how to take losses objectively and without emotion, you have no place in trading. Many of the trades that you put on are bound to go wrong and hit your stop-loss levels. That does not make you a bad..
trader. Moving your stop-loss levels or not having any stop-loss in place and letting your losses run will ensure you will eventually lose all your money. Those are the habits of a bad trader. Take your losses, preserve your capital. Live to fight another day. Making money in..
trading is not difficult, but losing money is infinitely easier when you don’t know how to take losses. Get used to taking losses if you want to be successful and consistently profitable in the long run!
In times of uncertainty, there is bound to be large amounts of volatility and many conflicting headlines will hit the newswires. In this age of social media and fake news, be sure to have credible news sources that you can rely on. It is crucial not to..
blindly react to price action and give in to #FOMO (Fear of Missing Out).
With such volatility, there will be many trading opportunities as prices tend to get out of whack as fear and greed dominate the thinking of the average investor. Focus on the facts, and what are..
With such volatility, there will be many trading opportunities as prices tend to get out of whack as fear and greed dominate the thinking of the average investor. Focus on the facts, and what are..
the high probability or even, inevitable outcomes.
For example, the initial cases of the virus infection overseas are mostly tourists from Wuhan or visitors to Wuhan who returned home. We are now seeing cases of locals who are exposed to these patients before they showed up at..
For example, the initial cases of the virus infection overseas are mostly tourists from Wuhan or visitors to Wuhan who returned home. We are now seeing cases of locals who are exposed to these patients before they showed up at..
