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A handful of reporters have reached out to me about Texas turnout today and I want to clear something up:
Biden did not underperform with Texas Latinos.
Dems increased vote share in Cameron, Hidalgo, Webb, and El Paso from 2016-2020.
Here we go...
#txlege #tx2020 #txdem
Biden did not underperform with Texas Latinos.
Dems increased vote share in Cameron, Hidalgo, Webb, and El Paso from 2016-2020.
Here we go...
#txlege #tx2020 #txdem
When you look at counties with an expanded electorate, such as Latino-majority counties, it's important to consider the actual vote share and *not just the percentage.*
Along the border, BOTH Democrats AND Republicans increased their votes:
Cameron
2020 - D 64k, R 49k
2016 - D 59k, R 29k
Hidalgo
20 - D 128k, R 90k
16 - D 119k, R 49k
Webb (still reporting)
20 - D 32k, R 19k
16 - D 42k, R 13k
El Paso
20 - D 169k, R 81k
16 - D 148k, R 55k
Cameron
2020 - D 64k, R 49k
2016 - D 59k, R 29k
Hidalgo
20 - D 128k, R 90k
16 - D 119k, R 49k
Webb (still reporting)
20 - D 32k, R 19k
16 - D 42k, R 13k
El Paso
20 - D 169k, R 81k
16 - D 148k, R 55k
Good morning! Anything big happen yesterday? lol
Ok here are some thoughts from Texas...
#txlege #tx2020 #txdem #txsen #turntexasblue #progresstexas @ProgressTX
Ok here are some thoughts from Texas...
#txlege #tx2020 #txdem #txsen #turntexasblue #progresstexas @ProgressTX
Biden got 5.2 million votes in Texas, which adds 1.3 mil from 2016. The last three presidential margins here:
2012 = 12 points
2016 = 9 points
2020 = 6 points
The revolution will not happen overnight, but it will happen over time.
2012 = 12 points
2016 = 9 points
2020 = 6 points
The revolution will not happen overnight, but it will happen over time.
Biden carried Texas urban counties 2.5 mil to 1.5 mil (was 1.95mil to 1.23mil in 2016).
Dems are also neutralizing the suburban stronghold Republicans enjoyed for years; 2.6 million votes were cast and R's lead by 14k overall (they led with 200k in 2012).
@blueactiondems
Dems are also neutralizing the suburban stronghold Republicans enjoyed for years; 2.6 million votes were cast and R's lead by 14k overall (they led with 200k in 2012).
@blueactiondems
Here's what we're watching in Texas:
- Will turnout reach 11 million? 12 million?
- Dems need 9 seats for a majority in the 150-seat legislature
- Dems need 5 seats for a majority in the congressional delegation
#txlege #txdem #txsen #tx2020 #TurnTexasBlue
/1
- Will turnout reach 11 million? 12 million?
- Dems need 9 seats for a majority in the 150-seat legislature
- Dems need 5 seats for a majority in the congressional delegation
#txlege #txdem #txsen #tx2020 #TurnTexasBlue
/1
Key counties to watch in Texas:
Big urban counties are also base Democratic:
Bexar (San Antonio)
Dallas
El Paso
Harris (Houston)
Tarrant (Fort Worth)
Travis (Austin)
/2
Big urban counties are also base Democratic:
Bexar (San Antonio)
Dallas
El Paso
Harris (Houston)
Tarrant (Fort Worth)
Travis (Austin)
/2
The suburban swing counties in Texas are:
DFW area: Collin, Denton, Tarrant
Central Texas: Hays & Williamson
Houston area: Fort Bend
SE Texas: Jefferson
Coastal: Nueces
/3
DFW area: Collin, Denton, Tarrant
Central Texas: Hays & Williamson
Houston area: Fort Bend
SE Texas: Jefferson
Coastal: Nueces
/3
THREAD: New Texas presidential poll of 1,045 likely Democratic primary voters. Commissioned by @ProgressTX with @ppppolls, conducted Feb. 24th & 25th via phone and text. Margin of error +/- 3%. To get data this quickly we had to keep it short. Here we go... 1/10
@ProgressTX @ppppolls Super Tuesday is the first time Bloomberg will be on the ballot, we wanted to see how his appearance impacts the race. So we asked voters their preferences with and without Bloomberg. We also tested approval/disapproval ratings and top issue. 2/10
@ProgressTX @ppppolls With Bloomberg on the Texas ballot:
Biden 24
Bernie 24
Bloomberg 17
Warren 14
Buttigieg 10
Klobuchar 4
Gabbard 1
Steyer 1
Without Bloomberg on Texas ballot:
Biden 31
Bernie 25
Warren 17
Buttigieg 11
Klobuchar 7
Steyer 3
Gabbard 1
#txelge #txdem #tx2020 #TexasPrimary
3/10
Biden 24
Bernie 24
Bloomberg 17
Warren 14
Buttigieg 10
Klobuchar 4
Gabbard 1
Steyer 1
Without Bloomberg on Texas ballot:
Biden 31
Bernie 25
Warren 17
Buttigieg 11
Klobuchar 7
Steyer 3
Gabbard 1
#txelge #txdem #tx2020 #TexasPrimary
3/10
