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We are roughly 2 months away from the start of #CFB season! Lets talk expectations. Ill go through each team & give what my model predicts as the % chance each team gets to bowl eligbility, and also the % chance each team gets 10+ Ws given their respective schedules. Lets go!🧵
#SEC (% Chance @ 6+ Ws/% Chance @ 10+ Ws)
#Alabama #RTR 99.9%/89.5%
#Arkansas #WPS 55.3%/11.0%
#Auburn #WarEagle 36.9%/1.8%
#Florida #Gators 81.0%/17.4%
#Georgia #UGA 99.9%/93.3%
#Kentucky #BBN 66.7%/7.3%
#LSU #GeauxTigers 81.8%/29.1%
#HailState 47.8%/2.6%
#Alabama #RTR 99.9%/89.5%
#Arkansas #WPS 55.3%/11.0%
#Auburn #WarEagle 36.9%/1.8%
#Florida #Gators 81.0%/17.4%
#Georgia #UGA 99.9%/93.3%
#Kentucky #BBN 66.7%/7.3%
#LSU #GeauxTigers 81.8%/29.1%
#HailState 47.8%/2.6%
#SEC (% Chance @ 6+ Ws/% Chance @ 10+ Ws) (cont)
#Mizzou 69.2%/11.6%
#OleMiss 96.9%/41.4%
#SouthCarolina 31.2%/0.8%
#Tennessee #Vols 95.3%/35.6%
#TAMU #GigEm 99.0%/75.1%
#Vanderbilt #AnchorDown 2.3%/ <0.1%
#Mizzou 69.2%/11.6%
#OleMiss 96.9%/41.4%
#SouthCarolina 31.2%/0.8%
#Tennessee #Vols 95.3%/35.6%
#TAMU #GigEm 99.0%/75.1%
#Vanderbilt #AnchorDown 2.3%/ <0.1%
Alright #CFBPlayoff viewers. Lets go through this week's poll. Once again, it was, as it always has been, predictable. The model was off an average of 1 spot per team for the entire Top 25 poll this week. So let's take a look at some resumes shall we? #CFB 🧵
If you took a peak at this projection yesterday, you were prepared for alot of what you saw last night. The resumes are all laid out very similarly to the way the Playoff Committee views them. #ThereIsNoEyeTest
patreon.com/posts/58739176
patreon.com/posts/58739176
25 #HailState 6-4
SOS: 29, QW: 4, T25W: 2, GC: 3.3
Despite the horrible game control at 3.3, MSU snuck its way into the poll. They modeled at 26 so this isn't all that surprising. They are riding their good SOS, 4 QWs, and 2 T25Ws at this point. No surprise.
SOS: 29, QW: 4, T25W: 2, GC: 3.3
Despite the horrible game control at 3.3, MSU snuck its way into the poll. They modeled at 26 so this isn't all that surprising. They are riding their good SOS, 4 QWs, and 2 T25Ws at this point. No surprise.
Ok, lets talk #CFBPlayoff Poll. Time is limited this morning so lets just run through the Top 15. For those of you who signed up as a patron (thank you) or those who have followed long; you know the drill. There is no eye test. The committee uses a well defined process. 🧵
If you read this on Monday, last night was all old news and you already knew what to expect. If you like the suspense of the four letter network's reveal show be warned. #SpoilerAlert
patreon.com/posts/58161598
patreon.com/posts/58161598
É DAQUI A POUCO! A GRANDE ABERTURA DOS JOGOS OLÍMPICOS DE VERÃO TÓQUIO 2020!
A partir das 08h, ao vivo na Globo, SporTV e BandSports!
#Tokyo2020 #JogosOlímpicos
A partir das 08h, ao vivo na Globo, SporTV e BandSports!
#Tokyo2020 #JogosOlímpicos
20 MINUTOS! Bruno e Ketleyn já estão no preparo!
📸 Christian Dawes/COB
📸 Christian Dawes/COB
COMEÇOU! FINALMENTE 😭😭😭😭😭
So I finally heard back from @ugahealthcenter about why #UGA’s posted COVID data doesn’t include the TOTAL number of COVID tests UHC gives weekly. Their response? The UGA Health Center isn't providing ANY of the data UGA posts re: their student testing.
Apparently the positive UHC test info that’s posted is from DawgCheck, which is self reported (in this case, by students). Reminder that the Health Center is where symptomatic students can go to be tested. We have asymptomatic surveillance testing available at another location.
From Dr. Russo’s email: “We report to the DPH all data on COVID as is the proper method of reporting notifiable diseases. What is being presented through DawgCheck are positive test reports as submitted by the individual, not the UHC.”
We just delivered over 260 letters to @universityofga President Jere Morehead, urging him & the USGBOR to ACT NOW. Letters are from Athens youth, #UGA students, alumni, faculty and staff, Athens residents, local parents & educators -many angry & ashamed of UGA’s #COVID19 response
The message to #UGA and President Morehead is loud and clear: our community deserves more than this! We need increased testing, better contact tracing, more transparency with the data and more flexibility for faculty, staff and students to work safely online.
I really can’t get over how disrespectful UGA's plan to put up to 23,000 people in Sanford stadium is to all of the people in Athens who have sacrificed by skipping funerals, weddings, birthdays, etc, in efforts to get local covid numbers under control... *THREAD* #CFB
Which they currently are not...and are getting worse. The positivity rate of symptomatic cases tested at the University Health Center is 50%. The positivity rate of minimal surveillance testing of non-symptomatic UGA community members is over 8%! 2/
#UGA is reporting 1417 new cases in the last week alone. Since students have come back to Athens, Athens now holds the #5 spot of cities NATIONALLY where new cases are increasing fastest. 3/
I finally got a response from the President's Office at #UGA! My questions were: why they aren't doing the following: 1)Daily reporting of data 2) Public reporting of how many UGA students, staff, & faculty are hospitalized. 3)In-house contact tracing 4)Saliva rapid result tests.
Here's what the President's Office at #UGA told me: 1) Their medical experts recommended the weekly reporting model they are using. 🤔 I pressed and was told that SOME groups get daily numbers, but "the full administration is not being briefed daily on these numbers." #covid19
2) Regarding hospitalizations, apparently #UGA isn't tracking that information currently. 🙄 "We are currently having conversation about how some of these questions may be added to DawgCheck and the impact that it may have"
Interesting thought here: according to our data, the higher ranked team has won roughly 72% of the time over the last decade in the #SEC. That's down from 80% in a study about 5 years ago.
Since expansion (2012) each team has played 56 conference games, and only 5 are above 500.
Since expansion (2012) each team has played 56 conference games, and only 5 are above 500.
That's 392 games over 7 seasons, meaning roughly 110 times a lesser ranked team defeated a "more talented" opponent.
Obviously all 5 of Bama's losses are to "less talented" teams, bc they're a top 2 recruiter. The next highest talent recruiter is #UGA, who has lost just 15 times
Obviously all 5 of Bama's losses are to "less talented" teams, bc they're a top 2 recruiter. The next highest talent recruiter is #UGA, who has lost just 15 times
In the last 7 seasons. Of those 15, every loss except once to #Alabama is a loss to a "less talented" team. So right away, 17% of the "upset losses" are held by the top two recruiters in SEC, bc nearly everyone they play is "less talented" than they are any given Saturday
THREAD: Financial Independence:Retire Early (FI:RE) Series Part 1a. Understanding Money: PERCEIVED vs. ACTUAL value. #FIRE #FinancialLiteracy #FinancialIndependence #RetireEarly #TayoOyedeji
Formula 1. FI:RE is not about Money. But you need to understand money to attain FI:RE.
Money is:
1. A means of exchange for PERCEIVED value.
2. A store of ACTUAL value.
Understanding the dichotomy between PERCEIVED and ACTUAL value is the key to FI:RE.
1. A means of exchange for PERCEIVED value.
2. A store of ACTUAL value.
Understanding the dichotomy between PERCEIVED and ACTUAL value is the key to FI:RE.
