Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #upelections
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I am trying to dissect the UP elections. While these elections affect me personally, I am willing to look at the results dispassionately to understand what really happened. I have also reached out to my more knowledgeable friends. Here is my view (1/n) #UPElections
The core base
We are living in a time of the golden age of the BJP brand of politics. I have been looking at the data from some past elections. Even in the states where the BJP does badly/loses, it still manages a 25-30 percent vote share. (2/n)
We are living in a time of the golden age of the BJP brand of politics. I have been looking at the data from some past elections. Even in the states where the BJP does badly/loses, it still manages a 25-30 percent vote share. (2/n)
We can safely assume this to be the core voter base of the party. This base will never vote against the BJP, even if they get personally negatively affected by its policies (ref. Quint/Fatima Khan’s story on UP elections and Covid) (3/n)
Last evening, we had an engaging, insightful #space on Phase 1 of voting in #UPElections and what to expect going ahead
Most participants predicted big gains for @samajwadiparty n allies. @BJP4India in a tight spot in many seats earlier considered safe.
#Thread on key takeaways👇
Most participants predicted big gains for @samajwadiparty n allies. @BJP4India in a tight spot in many seats earlier considered safe.
#Thread on key takeaways👇
➡️ In the 58 seats that went to polls Thursday, voter turnout was 60% (excludes postal ballot), slightly lower than 63% in 2017
➡️ Urban voting was subdued, which could be bad news for @BJP4India
➡️ Higher turnout in villages seen as favouring @samajwadiparty
#UPElections
➡️ Urban voting was subdued, which could be bad news for @BJP4India
➡️ Higher turnout in villages seen as favouring @samajwadiparty
#UPElections
➡️ Jat votes have reportedly consolidated more than expected in favour of SP-led alliance
➡️ In some places, BJP seen losing support among key caste groups such as Gurjars n Sainis which overwhelmingly supported the party in 2017
#UttarPradeshElections #AssemblyElections2022
➡️ In some places, BJP seen losing support among key caste groups such as Gurjars n Sainis which overwhelmingly supported the party in 2017
#UttarPradeshElections #AssemblyElections2022
The many, many imagined plots against PM and CM Narendra Modi with real-life consequences on citizens:
2018: In Aug, 5 activists incl Sudha Bharadwaj were arrested for Bhima-Koregaon violence 'coz there was an anti-fascist plot to overthrow the government
2018: In Aug, 5 activists incl Sudha Bharadwaj were arrested for Bhima-Koregaon violence 'coz there was an anti-fascist plot to overthrow the government
June: 5 activists, incl Rona Wilson, were arrested in same case & Pune pol claimed to find a letter on Wilson's laptop detailing an assassination attempt & to target Modi during roadshows.
No evidence was given
No evidence was given
May 2018: Before Karnataka polls, there was claim that there was a sinister conspiracy hatched in Surat by Islamist radicals to target Modi.
It was apparently based on a WA message and reportedly Gujarat Anti-Terrorism Squad filed a chargesheet in Ankleshwar.
No status of case
It was apparently based on a WA message and reportedly Gujarat Anti-Terrorism Squad filed a chargesheet in Ankleshwar.
No status of case
