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#MarketReport 2023/04

1) In this thread, I'll cover comparative performance of

­čôî #Stock Indices
­čôî #Exchange Rates
­čôî Treasury #Bills and Government #Bonds

both for April and since pandemic. Image
2) #StockMarkets

MoM returns in April, at their own currency:

Ô×í´ŞĆ #SPX #IXIC #DJI #DAX #NI225 #XU100 Image
3) #StockMarkets

MoM returns in April, based on USD:

Ô×í´ŞĆ #SPX #IXIC #DJI #DAX #NI225 #XU100 Image
Read 10 tweets
Forex Live 1/5: FX #options expiries for 14 Apr 10am NY cut
There are some sizable ones layered for #EURUSD closer towards 1.1900 but also near current levels, even for tomorrow, so that might attract price action with key resist seen closer towards 1.1990-00 region at the moment
Forex Live 2/5: That said, the dollar looks vulnerable across the board with 10-year #Treasury yields also sitting on the cusp of a soft bottom closer to 1.60%, so there's that to consider.

Going over to #USDJPY, that has seen the pair fall below 109.00 - where there are some
Forex Live 3/5: modest and chunky expiries seen this week.
Technically speaking, the break below 109.00 also sees the pair likely to push lower to test the 23 March low @ 108.40 so this just adds to the conviction.

All of that ties together with general dollar sentiment and how
Read 5 tweets
Several #FX trades hit targets for private group. Before/after charts in this thread to show you what we traded, how we managed the risk and what we made. Lots of lessons to be learned, but the key takeaway point is this: trade with the trend. First one: #CADJPY ImageImage
#EURJPY took its sweet time but eventually rose to our extended objective for +230 to +259 pips. We raised the stop as price action evolved over time ImageImage
#USDCAD short was a strong conviction trade for because of the big rally for crude oil at the time and rising stock prices. CAD being a commodity dollar and risk-sensitive currency had one way to go: up. On this, the private group made a cool +245 to +255 pips ImageImage
Read 8 tweets
OCBC Bank 1/5: #EURUSD Downside risks averted? Choppy action left the $EURUSD still anchored on either side of the 1.2050 level. Buoyant early Tue, but the 1.2080/90 resistance still intact. Despite negative lead from
fundamentals (German lockdowns etc),
OCBC Bank 2/5: the technical picture may turn positive if the 1.2000 level is not breached again soon.

#USDJPY Upside momentum eased. $USDJPY pull-back extended towards 105.00 overnight after an initial attempt to move towards 105.80. The stalling of the 10y UST yield at 1.20%
OCBC Bank 3/5: may have contributed to the implicit heaviness. The risk-on environment should provide some, albeit limited, supported. Will not turn negative on this pair unless 104.80/00 is breached.

#AUDUSD Bearish bias erased. Riskon and firm commodity complex spurred $AUDUSD
Read 5 tweets
@borsaninizinden Ge├ž de olsa #DXY i├žin notlar─▒m─▒ siteye y├╝kledim.

ergununutmaz.com/dxy-endeksi-uzÔÇŽ

Pariteler hakk─▒ndaki yorumumu ise g├╝n i├žinde bu ba┼čl─▒─č─▒n alt─▒nda payla┼č─▒r─▒m.
@borsaninizinden Merhaba ─░brahim Bey, sizin bu konudaki tecr├╝be ve birikiminiz kadar sizi izleyenlerin de katk─▒s─▒ olur diye pariteler hakk─▒ndaki g├Âr├╝┼člerimi buraya eklemeyi d├╝┼č├╝nd├╝m.

Ancak sayfan─▒z─▒ me┼čgul ederse kusura bakmay─▒n ┼čimdiden. Buyrun ba┼člayal─▒m:
@borsaninizinden 1) Benim konuya yakla┼č─▒m─▒m farkl─▒ oldu─ču i├žin belki farkl─▒ fikirler de ├ž─▒kar hem.

Ancak yeni kat─▒lanlar i├žin bu t├╝r pozisyon payla┼č─▒m─▒ yapmad─▒─č─▒m─▒, sadece DXY ile ilgili ├žal─▒┼čmam─▒ tamamlad─▒─č─▒ i├žin bunlar─▒ yazd─▒─č─▒m─▒ ba┼čtan belirteyim. Sonra yanl─▒┼č anla┼č─▒lma olmas─▒n. ­čśŐ
Read 15 tweets
1) #USDCAD paritesinde LONG pozisyon a├žt─▒m. Peki neden? Hangi teknik gerek├želere dayanarak? H─▒zl─▒ca ├╝zerinden ge├žece─čim. ─░lk olarak tertemiz ekranda mumlara bakt─▒m. Bir Bullish Engulfing ve ard─▒ndan teyidini g├Ârd├╝m. (Teyit mumu yeni bir "y├╝ksek" yapsa daha iyiydi ama, bu da iyi) Image
2) Sonras─▒nda a┼ča─č─▒daki A'dan B'ye bir fibo ├žektim. Bu Engulfing'in kritik b├Âlgede, yani fibo 0.61 d├╝zeltmesinde olu┼čtu─čunu g├Ârd├╝m. Att─▒m cebe. Devam ediyorum. Image
3) Sonra yine haftal─▒kta, en tepeden bir d├╝┼čen ├žiziyorum. D├╝┼čen MART ay─▒nda k─▒r─▒lm─▒┼č. Tekrar onaya gelmi┼č ve onaya geldi─či noktada iyi bir mum b─▒rakm─▒┼č. Devam. Image
Read 10 tweets
$usdcad #forex #short
Update: $usdcad reaching for TP1 #forex #usdcad #dxy
Update: $usdcad TP1 hit ­čĺ░
Read 5 tweets

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