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#wavotes

I very strongly recommend that anyone thinking of voting Greens above the line in Agricultural region (map here: parliament.wa.gov.au/WebCMS/webcms.…) do their research on Bass Tadros (Health Australia) and see if you really want your vote electing this guy.
In general I recommend everyone in WA seriously consider voting below the line (make sure you number every box without any mistake) to stop preference harvesters but this is an especially bad case.

Greens have directly preferenced views normally associated with the fringe right.
Greens have a lousy position in this region which includes Geraldton and Esperance. Virtually nobody has preferenced them above Health Australia. If the Druery preferencing spiral takes off the Greens will simply feed Tadros who is their preferred candidate in this region.
Read 6 tweets
So I've been doing this for five minutes and have already found a possible scenario in the first region I looked at (E Met) in which Charles Smith polls 0.4% and retains his seat.

#wavotes
Also if I crash the One Nation vote in E Met it becomes rather hard to stop Australian Christians winning instead of ON or WAP, and in some cases this is at the expense of the Greens with a much higher primary. Unless the micro vote crashes in general.
If I hold all the votes at 2017 levels no micros win anywhere (unless you count SFF). But I am sceptical that will be anything much like the case.
Read 7 tweets
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IDK how many feel as I do that the Morrison lead government will not bring out #Budget2021
For all thinking people it appears the we are now in an undeclared Federal election campaign
The impact of the Opposition`s attack on all of Morrison`s failures
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has finally cut through
Media cannot find positives to promote this LNP government any further
A further eroding of the Democratic process in shutting down debate in #HoR question time cannot be defended by the #MSM, nor can it be glossed over
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Also, the impact of the new US Biden admin with it`s #NetZeroBy2050 & return to the #ParisAgreement will see Morrison not only further sidelined by global powers it will see him totally isolated in #ClimateChangeDenialism

The impact on reducing #covidstimulus
Read 9 tweets
1. Groundhog Day on One Nation preferencing. In 1998, Howard-Abbott urged preferencing One Nation; Costello and Kennett strongly disagreed, saying put ON last, as Labor did.

Then came #qldvotes - Hanson won 11 seats outside Brisbane, and Lib voters fled in Bringing Shane.
2. So Howard put One Nation last at 1998 #ausvotes. ON didn’t win a seat, and in Blair, where Hanson stood, the Lib won with Labor preferences.

Fast forward - she’s back, and the WA Libs preferenced her above Labor. The Feds were fine with it - Hanson had matured, they said.
3. Disaster struck again; the Liberal leader Colin Barnett says the decision cost the Libs several seats after it became a massive election issue.

smh.com.au/politics/feder…
Read 35 tweets

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