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My behaviour regarding wearing #masks follows a simple mathematical model:
The probability that I will become infected over a period of time is an exponential distribution whose intensity is a function of the total exposure to virus load.
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#WeekendMath
The probability that I will become infected over a period of time is an exponential distribution whose intensity is a function of the total exposure to virus load.
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#WeekendMath
The model implies, for example, that wearing a mask half the time in a restaurant can significantly improve the chances of not becoming infected - see below.
⚠️Note: what follows is 'school mathematics'. I have tried to simplify the descriptions.
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⚠️Note: what follows is 'school mathematics'. I have tried to simplify the descriptions.
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The model's basic assumption is that some environmental influences realize their adverse effects 'only with a probability' that results from many small (unlikely) individual events.
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