Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #wwiinrealtime
Most recents (3)
Pandemic #wolfording is getting ready for a retooled undergrad Causes of War syllabus, now with more about America crushing the Slavers’ Rebellion (1/x) 
I've started following my #WWIinrealtime model, where students read the history and then learn the political science--the act of theory building---in class (2/x)
In the past, I've spent most of the time in Europe and Asia, tracking the upheavals in both regions that occurred in the first half of the 20th century and gave us today's pattern of alignments (3/x)
How do wars stay limited? Often bc of obvious focal points—like borders—that coordinate expectations. Schelling talked about this in context of Korea, but US and Iran engaging one another in Iraq is another (tragic, bloody) example.
If one goes outside the obviously recognizable bounds, the other knows that escalation is in the cards. If both stay in the bounds, competition stays limited (while Iraqis suffer).
I talk about this at length in Chapter 10 of the #WWIinrealtime textbook: cambridge.org/us/academic/su…
New working paper, Coalition Politics and War Termination, with some game-theoretic models, a case study of the end of WWI on the Western Front, and a null-result Cox model *in the lit review*.
scott-wolford.com/uploads/2/5/2/…
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scott-wolford.com/uploads/2/5/2/…
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This one came directly from teaching #WWIinrealtime: after years of talking about military victory, why did the Allies grant Germany an armistice they knew would be fragile in 1918?
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I wrote down a model where (a) coalition partners have to agree to grant an armistice if their opponent asks for one and (b) one partner will get a larger share of the postwar pie if the war continues than if the war ends today.
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