Just ran a basic machine-learning voter file analysis to illustrate the folly of betraying gun voters.
Of a 55,072,850 pool of voters in Ariz., Fla., Iowa, Me., Mich., Minn., N.H., N.C., Ohio, Penn. and Wis., a whopping 12,748,553 are Second Amendment voters.
That's appx. 23.1%
Here's what party affiliation looks like for battleground Second Amendment voters.
Of the 12,748,553 2A voters in those key battlegrounds...
3,831,600, or 30.06%, are verifiably Republican
2,874,532, or 22.55%, are inferred Republican
Worth noting, "inferred" is very accurate.
For those bad at math, that's nearly 53% of a quarter of the battleground electorate. By gender, they're almost an identical reverse mirror image of the battleground electorate, 52% male vs 48% female.
So far, all downside here, as I said.
Let's look at their income levels.
Added gender from the prior tweet here, as well.
But now income:
$100K - $149,999: 2,780,380, or 21.81%
$150K - $174,999: 387,498, or 3.04%
$175K - $199,999: 570,695, or 4.48%
$200K - $249,999: 495,251, or 3.88%
$250K+: 619,536, or 4.86%
Nearly 62% earn < $100K
So what?
So, in summation...
These are Republican base voters, and voters the GOP should be targeting for crossover votes because they're RIPE for the taking.
Instead, they're talking about depressing them. Again, they are a SIGNIFICANT chunk of the battleground electorate.
Good luck.
Thread Update:
Last night's thread was just an initial impression of the analysis. Here's a more in-depth analysis of the importance of the gun rights base to a Republican presidential candidate.
It's worse than I thought actually.
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