The 'Good' news: There's a 95% chance that catastrophic climate breakdown WON'T kill 9 billion people by 2045.
The Bad news: There's a 95% chance* that it WILL kill 10 billion people by 2095.
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*if emissions follow a commonly used business-as-usual scenario (which looks increasingly likely because of Nature's own feedback emissions from permafrost & rainforest collapse etc not properly included in scientific models)
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The planet would support less than a billion humans at 4°C (see above👆)
“Our study indicates that if emissions follow a commonly used business-as-usual scenario, there is a 93 per cent chance that global warming will exceed 4C by the end of this century".independent.co.uk/environment/gl…
Projected population by 2050 - 9.7 billion.
Projected population by 2100 - 10.9 billion.
(These projections don't take into account catastrophic climate breakdown which threatens to kill billions within decades without total transformation of human political-economic systems.)
ICYMI
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