Thread by @electoralreform

BREAKING: Electoral Reform Society predict the election result in half of seats in Britain electoral-reform.org.uk/latest-news-an… #GE2019

In new analysis, we describe 316 seats as ‘one party seats’ (50% of Britain’s total, i.e. excluding Northern Ireland)

Nearly 23m voters in Britain are in these ‘competition free zones’

In England alone, 300 seats are one-party zones – 56% of the total – covering 22,007,281 potential voters

The scourge of safe seats is made far worse by Westminster’s winner-takes-all voting system #MakeSeatsMatchVotes

In 2010 and 2015, the ERS predicted the result in over half of seats with around 99% accuracy

Recent research by the ERS has found that nearly 200 seats have not changed hands since World War II – a damning indictment of Westminster’s winner-takes-all system. YouGov’s analysis shows that less than 10% of seats are likely to change hands on Thursday.

Polling launched last week revealed that just 16 percent of the public believe politics is working well in the UK – and only 2 percent feel they have a significant influence over decision-making.

Can you imagine why?

204 seats are safe for the Conservatives (32% of total MPs / 64% of 2017 Con seats). There are 15,178,210 potential voters in these seats

104 seats are safe for Labour (16% of total / 40% of 2017 Lab seats). There are 7,208,558 potential voters in these seats

By region:

Eastern England has the most seats classed as safe - 78%. 3,398,009 potential voters in these seats
South East: 55 seats classed as safe (65% of SE total) – 4,209,510 potential voters live here
London: 45 seats classed as safe (62% of London total) –3,279,855 affected

Wales has just 12 seats classed as safe (30% of Wales total), with 650,373 potential voters live in these seats.

Scotland has just 4 safe seats (7% of Scotland total), with 264,836 potential voters in these seats

While we don’t know who’ll form the next government yet, we do know this: in hundreds of seats across the country, the result feels like a foregone conclusion

This election is being fought in the handful of ‘swing’ seats that hold the keys to Number 10

If we switched to a democratic, proportional voting system, where seats in Parliament match how we vote, elections would be far more competitive – and your voice would always be heard.

It’s time for a voting system where every vote counts equally, no matter where you are

We're calling on all parties to make proportional representation a red line issue in the event of a hung parliament