Thread by @CyberPeace1

(Thread) Working through recent articles on #Autonomous and #AI enabled nuclear forces and missiles. Some thoughts to take away and remember
* “[It is the] fear of conventional or nuclear inferiority [that] could create some incentives to pursue greater autonomy”

* If AI systems will be fed & trained with data that is based on the _perception_ of hostiles & its expected activities, this increases the bias of these systems
* AI in nuclear forces might not be the main problem, as it presumably will be critically controlled ...

... due to the special situation. But “The risk I worry most about is how conventional military applications of AI, by increasing the speed of war, could place pressure on the early warning and launch doctrines of nuclear weapons states that fear decapitation in conventional war”

* The speed of the possibility to launch retaliating nuclear strikes is seen as an important aspect of nuclear deterrence and part of the balance of power situation. If one follows this argumentation, then the speed of technical sensor assessment and decision making is crucial...

... and and a huge incentive to implement strong AI there, especially when states are beginning to perceive AI driven decision systems as strategic advantage that grants just the important some more minutes for nuclear strikes.

* This can easily lead into another arms race “if one country integrates AI into its nuclear systems, others might feel they must follow”

Thoughts and critics are welcome!

* Sources: @MatthewField2 “As the US , China , and Russia build new nuclear weapons systems , how will AI be built in ?” thebulletin.org/2019/12/as-the…

@WMDgirl “Can Humans Resist the Allure of Machine Speed for Nuclear Weapons ?” outrider.org/nuclear-weapon…

@mchorowitz et. al. ”A Stable Nuclear Future? The Impact of Autonomous Systems and Artificial Intelligence” arxiv.org/abs/1912.05291

Thanks to the authors!