*Early* exit polling of Democratic #MichiganPrimary voters: about half say that U.S. economic system needs complete overhaul with closer to four in ten saying minor changes
Most #MichiganPrimary Democratic voters favor replacing private health insurance with government plan, per early exit polling
Note: these are preliminary estimates and may change as more data arrives
That said, beating Trump more important than agreeing on the issues for most #MichiganPrimary Democratic voters... theme we've seen again and again throughout primaries
In early exit polling of #MichiganPrimary, about three in ten Democratic voters say they decided how to vote in last few days...
Pretty different than what we saw in some Super Tuesday states, like Minnesota, where this number was over a half
#MichiganPrimary voters equally split between saying they decided how to vote this month and earlier than that, per early exit polling...
Full time-of-decision breakdown, per *early* exit polling of #MichiganPrimary
9% just today
21% last few days
19% earlier this month
8% February
40% before that
Note: these are initial estimates and may change somewhat
Initial estimates of vote margin by time of decision in #MichiganPrimary...
Voters saying they decided this month: Biden +30 pts
Voters saying they decided Feb/earlier: Sanders +17 pts
Our #MichiganPrimary exit polls show Biden doing very well among black voters, as he has throughout primaries
...that strength among black voters is in part what allows us to project #MichiganPrimary for Biden
Biden's margin much smaller among white voters, per exit polling in #MichiganPrimary
In #MichiganPrimary, Biden's doing better in counties that Clinton did better in four years ago...
Correlation is modest partly because Biden performance is more even across regions of state -- he's over-performing Clinton everywhere but Wayne County
(Plot excludes one outlier)
One of strongest county-level correlations to pop out from #MichiganPrimary results... Sanders doing better where young (18-29) voters make up higher share of registered voters
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