Kabir (kabirkhanna.bsky.social) Profile picture
@CBSNews Elections & Data Analytics | @Princeton political science PhD | https://t.co/QJs3qzWvH2

Mar 11, 2020, 5 tweets

Polls are closed in the #MissouriPrimary...

Biden vote share positively correlated with Clinton's 2016 performance in sample precincts across the state (r=.68)

However, Biden's significantly over-performing Clinton, who beat Sanders in a squeaker four years ago

Here are our current estimates for #MissouriPrimary

This is based on exit poll data, which will gradually be supplanted by vote tallies both in sample precincts and around the state...

Nugget from #MissouriPrimary exit poll: when asked who has best chance of beating Trump, Democratic voters are picking Biden over Sanders by nearly two to one...

We project Joe Biden wins #MissouriPrimary -- stay tuned for our delegates update (race that ultimately matters!)

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