Annie Duke Profile picture
Speaker/writer/student of decision science. New book #QUIT out now! Author of #ThinkinginBets & #HowToDecide. I used to play poker. Navigating uncertainty.

Mar 25, 2020, 5 tweets

[THREAD] ⬇️
One reason ramping up testing really matters: if reported cases are low because of lack of testing, people can’t asses their risk.

#Covid19testing #coronavirus #socialdistancing #numbers

[1/5]

The more testing we do, the more actual cases and reported cases converge. That allows people to more accurately asses their risk of infection.

[2/5]

Imagine we did no testing so report cases was *zero*. People would asses their risk of infection at zero.

[3/5]

We need more testing to give the public the chance to know figure out what their risk is.

[4/5]

And we need to report estimated cases rather than just those who have tested positive.

#covid19 #TestingForCovid19 #TestingForSymptomatics #TestingandTracing

[End thread 5/5]

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