Michael Levitt Profile picture
Stanford Prof. of Biophysics, Cambridge PhD and DSc, 2013 Chemistry Nobel Laureate (complex systems), FRS & US National Academy member, I code well for my age.

Apr 27, 2020, 5 tweets

This is part 2 of my first Tweet today on EuroMOMO euromomo.eu/graphs-and-map; I hit send and not (+) and have no idea how to link them. I ended part one "is now substantially higher with about 46,000 added deaths." See below.

Continuing properly... (2) EuroMOMO euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps now gives numbers by mouse-over. Getting values is easier than WebPlotDigitization but still tricky with my laptop and track pad. What I post here has been double checked but EuroMOMO does update. Please do check me!

With these numbers I made a table showing the Excess Deaths for Weeks 8 to 16 of 2020 (26-Feb-20 to 22-Apr-20). Remember Excess Deaths are a count of total deaths for all causes. If COVID related lock-down reduced traffic deaths, they will affect the the total.

The Table shows All Age Deaths and the Deaths Over 65. As of 12 hours ago 111,000 COVID deaths were reported for these EuroMOMO countries. Actual Excess Deaths are 101,079 for All Ages and 100,138 for Over 65. Surprising is that all but 941 of these deaths are over 65 (99%).

A summary of age-range deaths percent for EuroMOMO countries shows 10% of deaths under 65. This is 10 times more than the 1% seen from the EuroMOMO Excess Deaths. Two of many explanations: (1) Lives saved by lock-down, (2) reporting deaths "WITH" coronavirus as "BECAUSE OF".

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