Thread by @PuffDragon11

1/ Virus thoughts. Chart below shows tracking of positive cases. Note there is a weekly up/down cycle likely due to less testing and work done on the weekend. There is a 1-2 day lag for results to filter through so looking at this, all dips are on weekend.

2/ Clearly, shutdowns had the anticipated affect of "flattening the curve". However, Memorial Day was a pivot when the public basically went YOLO and you started seeing mass gatherings, many people without masks

3/ Incubation is 4-14 days, but most are 10-14 down the road. Note that ~June 6 marked a low point, 12 days after Memorial Day. No doubt we are seeing the result of mass ignorance of the virus as cases tick up dramatically since then.

4/ I don't think we have seen results from all the rioting and protests yet but likely the exponential rise of cases picks up and becomes noticeable by early July as infections from this also take affect.

5/ It's been noted deaths remain low. This is to be expected as people don't die immediately upon being infected. It's another 1-2 weeks on top to start seeing this, so deaths from Memorial Day ought to start upticking end of June and become noticeable early July.

6/ Deaths from rioting/protests should become noticeable by mid July.This is the time frame of events I am looking at.

7/ Quite frankly, we are a nation of self entitled, arrogant, can't make me wear a mask, won't happen to me, I am better than others, people. I fully expect wave 2 to appear because of this.

8/ While I don't advocate economic shutdown, the complete throwing caution to the wind of the population, is a serious problem. Asian countries comply much better. We simply don't take it seriously.

9/ Even while shutdowns occurred, it wasn't really complete with many parts still open, many ignoring caution, etc. I have said it before, USA is a giant swimming pool and those that non-comply are still in it. Doesn't matter who pisses in the pool, it affects EVERYONE.

10/ So, this will be interesting to watch unfold over next few months. I am business traveling lightly again but not without taking an abundance of caution.

11/ And the whole mask issue is completely misunderstood. I agree, many of the masks do NOT work well. These are the basic cotton, handkerchief, wearing under the nose, etc. All useless material or action. However, proper material and use IS effective.

This is part of the problem because even a good mask not worn well is ineffective. N95 do work. I get tired of seeing all the comments about pore size being too large. It's not as simple as that. The electrostatic charge of these masks reduce the effective pore size significantly

13/ I can pull up science papers with actual filtration studies on particle size that show data. Virus do get trapped. In addition, much of the virus is also riding on liquid aerosol particles which won't make it through.

14/ Maybe they are not 100%, but masks between two people, proper material, worn properly, will significantly reduce the rate of transmission and that is the ultimate goal. You won't find me in public places without one or near someone that doesn't have it.

15/ I plan to reduce my odds of becoming a death statistic as much as possible.