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BBN
Bringing logical analysis/research to my investments. The greatest investment we'll ever make is time itself. So DYOR and always check everything yourself.

Jul 8, 2020, 7 tweets

Added further to my #HGM holding today. The company has maintained full production throughout Covid saga and at 300k oz production and AISC $791, it looks really good value at $1,800 gold.

Dividend could reach 10% this year.

Rock solid outfit.

As can be seen from the enclosed graphic, very low cost.

With Kekura on the horizon for a 2023 start and 500k oz total production.

Given concerns over the world debt bubble, for me its an excellent portfolio member of mine. #HGM

(1/5)
Today's #HGM RNS ;

"The average 2020 realised gold price was US$ 1,723 per ounce in the second quarter and US$ 1,655 in the first half of the year."

2019 generated $138m in net cash flows @ 300k oz and $1,395 ave. realised gold price.

(2/5)
H1 2020 "production was 125,347 oz of gold and gold equivalent"

"affirms its guidance for total production of 290,000-300,000 oz of gold and gold equivalent in 2020."

"Dividend policy sets a target minimum payout of 20% of
net operating cash flow before capex"

2019=44%

(3/5)
Current SP at YTD ave. gold price, will for me achieve a min dividend of c. 7-8%.

For me an excellent recurring return as production begins to increase from next year, with the ultimate goal of producing 500k oz by 2023.

(4/5)
Centamin currently achieving 480k oz @ AISC $150 higher than HGM @ 300k oz production and is trading at nearly £2.2BN MC debt free.

HGM currently £838m with £192m debt.

So already c. min £250m cheaper on like for like basis, based on 2020 forecasts for AISC and production

(5/5)
HGM is no 10 bagger but is a rock solid performer in this elevated gold price environment with solid future valuation gains on the horizon.

Am happy to keep take c. 7% dividends whilst the company builds up to that 2023 valuation inflection point at Kekura.

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