New @FREOPP: Our updated charts comparing your risk of death from #COVID19 vs. influenza, and other top causes of death, by age bracket. We assumed a total of 200,000 coronavirus deaths for this analysis: freopp.org/estimating-the…
School-aged children continue to be at significantly higher risk (4-8x) of dying from influenza or pneumonia than from #COVID19. freopp.org/estimating-the…
While #COVID19 will be the 3rd leading cause of death in the U.S. this year overall, it varies widely by age group. For school-aged children, the risk of death from many other causes, like accidents, cancer, and suicide, are much greater. freopp.org/estimating-the…
All of this points to the compelling case for safely reopening schools, as we explain in detail our major new @FREOPP paper by @DanLips, @PrestonCooper93, @lanheechen, @bobkocher, and myself. freopp.org/reopening-amer…
But what about children infecting teachers? In the paper, we extensively discuss the overwhelming evidence that younger children are not vectors of transmission.
"But," you say, "we can't learn from international experience with school reopenings because the U.S. is terrible and worse than every other country wrt #COVID19." That turns out to be false. Countries with U.S.-like mortality (e.g. Holland, Sweden) successfully reopened schools.
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