Rui Maurício Profile picture
🇧🇷 / Bahia / @theffrobot creator / fantasy football / 'Editor-in-chief' @brffootball

Aug 27, 2020, 7 tweets

Let me try:

ADP-beaters - 86
ADP-beaten - 124

So it sounds easier to get disappointed by the draft than not

Top-12 ADP and Top-12 Finishers
ADP-Beaters: 33
ADP-Beaten: 34

So drafting a Top-12 guy in the board is basically a flip coin

Top-12 ADP and 13-30 Finishers: 40

Adding those guys to the second group above means 74 in 107 cases in which it wasn't good to draft a QB at his ADP.

13-24 ADP:

Top-12 Finishes - 34
13-30 Finishes - 51

So in this range we're likely to get a bad starter.

ADP x Average Finish

So this tell me that either I get one of the top-5 guys or wait for the Wentz-Mayfield range (although this falls into consistency issues which justifies streaming).

Glad to help @LateRoundQB !

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