Thread by @MarcACaputo

FL Hispanic voter/poll thread 1/10

Good news for Joe Biden: he leads Trump by 16 points with them in a new @EquisResearch poll

Bad news for him: that’s 11 points below what Clinton got when she narrowly lost the state

But the race is far from over...

politi.co/31Y0aPR

2) After months of criticism about his Hispanic outreach, Biden this week opened the floodgates. Harris gave a MegaTV interview, he spoke to Telemundo in Miami, he went on a hiring binge & is set to out-advertise Trump in Spanish-language media now

politi.co/31Y0aPR

3) Trump has also made Hispanic outreach a top FL priority. It’s a fight

“Both sides are locked in a death match, with crosswinds blowing in both directions that make the race end up the way most elections do in Florida: locked,” said Equis @carlosodio, politi.co/31Y0aPR

4) New FL polls have Biden w/a marginal lead in Trump’s must-win state. Though Biden’s underperforming Clinton w/Latinos, he’s doing well enough w/them & better than she with non-Hispanic whites & is pulling outsized Black support

politi.co/31Y0aPR

5) Equis’ poll is a high-quality survey with 1k respondents —a must in a dynamic state w/sizable populations of folks w/roots in Cuba, Puerto Rico, Colombia, Venezuela & the greater Latin American world. Hispanics account for 17% of registered voters politi.co/31Y0aPR

6) Yesterday, there was a big hoopla over FL Hispanics in another poll that probably surveyed fewer than 190 of them. Folks, that’s not enough. You can get a seriously skewed sample that way because of the nature of the state’s Latino population politi.co/31Y0aPR

7) Trump’s campaign does not expect to win Florida Hispanics. Yes. Cuban Republicans have come home & he’s getting more men than in 2016. His path to victory is to hold Hispanic margins & turnout to 2018 levels & claw back more whites from Biden politi.co/31Y0aPR

8) Speaking of 2018, Equis @carlosodio said Biden’s on pace to eclipse former Sen. Bill Nelson’s Latino support when he lost the state by less than a point but a win “could come down to whether he's able to inch up a few points with Hispanics”
politi.co/31Y0aPR

9) On the Biden camp’s new hires: Christian Ulvert, a top strategist on Florida Latinos; Denise Lugo, a Puerto Rican outreach expert; strategic adviser Josh Romero, Hispanic digital specialist Mariana Castro, & Chris Wills as Hispanic vote director politi.co/31Y0aPR

10) The story also dives into issues of racism, socialism and immigration, so I’m not gonna tweet the whole thing. Y’all can argue about that in the menchies if ya wanna politi.co/31Y0aPR