SEPT. 9 - Canada/Ontario/Québec daily update
#COVID19Ontario #covid19canada #covid19quebec
7 newly reported deaths for all of Canada (note that zero deaths were reported the day before, probably because of Labour Day).
46,241 additional tests to confirm 1,606 additional cases.
B.C. and Alberta account for much of this.
Canada - Covid-19 still presents a risk primarily to the elderly, not to children and hardly to working-age adults.
(n.b. Based on 2020 YTD data for Covid-19 - figures to be revised upward as needed.)
Deaths among those over 80 account for 71.4% of covid deaths.
This contrasts to overall deaths, for which the 80+ cohort accounts for 50.9% of deaths (based on 2016-2018 averages).
(n.b. Based on 2020 YTD data for Covid-19 - figures to be revised upward as needed.)
Bear in mind that the risk of death will always rise in line with one's advancing age. Such is life.
In a given year, like 2018 as an example, 9.2% of those in the over-80 age cohort pass away.
(n.b. Based on 2020 YTD data for Covid-19 - figures to be revised upward as needed.)
Children and young adults are at lower risk from Covid-19 than from influenza and pneumonia.
The risk of death by Covid-19 is higher than that by influenza and pneumonia as one's age advances.
(n.b. Based on 2020 YTD data for Covid-19 - figures to be revised upward as needed.)
If considered as a wholly distinct and separate cause of death in Canada, Covid-19 may now be the 6th leading cause of death in 2020, much like influenza and pneumonia.
(n.b. Based on 2020 YTD data for Covid-19 - figures to be revised upward as needed.)
Ontario has reported 2 covid deaths so far in September.
That's an average of 0.25/day.
Ontario now reports:
- 54 in hospital
- 17 in ICU
- 7 on a ventilator
This is what 2020 might look like in Ontario month-to-month if:
1. All-cause deaths (excl. Covid-19) are in line with 2016-18 averages
2. All Covid-19 deaths are single-cause excess deaths
(n.b. Based on 2020 YTD data for Covid-19 - figures to be revised upward as needed.)
This is what 2020 might look like in Ontario year-to-year if:
1. All-cause deaths (excl. Covid-19) are in line with 2016-18 averages
2. All Covid-19 deaths are single-cause excess deaths
(n.b. Based on 2020 YTD data for Covid-19 - figures to be revised upward as needed.)
This is what 2020 YTD might look like in Ontario on a cumulative basis, using 2016-18 average monthly deaths as a proxy for 2020 data.
Ontario - Growth in cumulative cases is outpacing growth in cumulative deaths.
September so far:
- 614 cases per 1 death
- Cumulative cases up 2.9%
- Cumulative deaths up 0.1%
Ontario - Growth in cumulative tests conducted is outpacing growth in cumulative cases.
September so far:
- 167 tests conducted per 1 positive test
- Cumulative tests up 7.2%
- Cumulative cases up 2.9%
Québec has reported 4 covid deaths so far in September. That's an average of 0.5/day.
Québec now reports:
- 105 in hospital
- 15 in ICU
From l'Institut national de santé publique du Québec (INSPQ) - the province has had the highest fatality rate among this selection of countries.
As shown above however, the number of daily deaths has plummeted since the spring.
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