Observations about Sweden:
• They are far from herd immunity:
• Social distancing is what keeps cases low right now:
So, a #prediction: *if* they relax social distancing too much they will be hit by a second wave of rising cases
Some countries also far from herd immunity have been able to keep cases close to zero thanks to social distancing, mass testing...
South Korea went nearly 6 months without a 2nd wave
Perhaps Sweden will hold out 6 months. We don't know *when* but we know a 2nd wave is possible
Covid cases jump +57% in Stockholm county: 526 this week, compared to 334 the week before
"The Stockholm region sees signs that the spread of infection is increasing in the county."
Almost like there's no herd immunity! #WhoCouldHaveGuessed?🤔
dn.se/sthlm/sjukvard…
«The downward trend [...] is broken. If this continues upwards, we may soon be in a serious situation again»
«Anders Tegnell stated that measures may need to be introduced to reduce the spread»
The raw statistics are published here (week 38): folkhalsomyndigheten.se/smittskydd-ber…
And look: the first week since the beginning of the pandemic where road traffic in Stockholm is back to 2019 levels is week 35:
tomtom.com/en_gb/traffic-…
It is thus expected that cases are increasing at nearly the same time (week 38)...
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