Thread by @John1MD

1...On power politics: When the disruption cost exceeds the concession costs, govt moves. Now, when Z number of people create Y amount of disruption each, the cost is Z*Y. Now if 10 times more people get involved, the cost becomes 10Z*Y. The more people involved, the less...2

2...the less each has to do to surpass the concession cost.

Further, to keep govt in line, one must continue to make real the threat of disruption costs. Organizations need to stay strong after the win. This resiliency is created through not only realization of goals...3

3...but also a greater sense of agency and accomplishment through leadership development within the movement’s members. Bringing that back to the beginning, any organization that starts to appear like it might have staying power, affects the initial...4

4...concession cost necessary to over come. But the question is, does it increase the concession cost or decrease the concession cost? That is individually determined by the agenda of the opponent.

My assessment of the UCP vs Alberta is:...5

5...
1) the UCP are not in it for the long haul
2) the UCP has very specific goals they must meet before they are done
3) the UCP sees COVID as a stressor that reduces everyone’s capacity to fight back

As such, I believe the UCP will demonstrate a belief that concession ...6

6...costs are ideologically incredibly high.

As such, concession costs will be treated as sky-high. The only way a movement will be able to pull them from this train towards Albertas destruction will be to dramatically increase the numbers involved...7

7...if Z*Y must exceed C, and Y (disruption per person) has a finite ceiling (one person can only do so much), it only makes sense that 10 times the numbers makes 10 times less work. 4 million Albertans can move a govt more in a month than all Albertan doctors could move...8

8...could move that same govt in 32 years.

Coming back to my comments about individualism vs community-ism...The UCP know this as another word.

The power structure has been working at separating each of us from our fellow citizens for longer than you have been alive...9

9...they know that their power is only derived from our obedience. United we stand, divided we fall. Isolate the enemy from its allies and it will fear to oppose you.

So, many of you ask me: “What can I do?” While the plan is not fully formed yet, there are things you...10

10...things you can do right now. If we are weak alone, and strong together, and if we need to maintain unity well past a possible future win, then we need to rebuild our communities now, in authentic ways. Those neighbours you don’t know? Get to know them...11

11...knowing each other’s goals and aspirations may be essential to upcoming conflict. Know your neighbours in authentic ways. When the time comes to take on real conflict oriented tasks, having authentic allies in your immediate community will be essential...12

12...but maintain proper physical distancing. Gosh...wasn’t COVID a huge blessing to the establishment? It cost small business lots of money, but it consolidated large corp’s control on us all, while they maintained profitable (this, by the way, is considered investment)...13

13...that’s it for now. Back to the books