Thread by @HowardSteen4

This 1st of thread:
We can learn a lot from anomalies. Sweden is one (more later). Another country interesting, Germany has low numbers (deaths) and high numbers (people attending demos). Let's start with Aug 1 demo in Berlin. I attended and made a video:
vimeo.com/457318736

It is easy to see from the film that the protesters did not adhere to social distancing recommendations. Depending upon which version of the attendance number you believe one might expect serious consequences from this reckless behaviour. 6 wks after event I looked a RKI data:

Generally, deaths seem to be falling across the whole country in the last 3 months as one would expect well after the tail off of a respiratory virus outbreak (cases from PCR unreliable) So nothing alarming in these figures to suggest demo of 800,000 people caused loss of life.

Berlin on 1st Aug not the only large demo in Germany. Prior ones were large but not as large. Also no consequences noticed from these demos (others e.g. Dr. Bodo Schiffmann have done analysis). 29 Aug Berlin demo largest yet but a bit early to say.

Now I return to Sweden and this excellent graphic and and analysis from @jhnhellstrom which uses Swe Public Health Authority data to show us the number of deaths in Sweden that were directly attributable to C-19 vs 'died with'. Let's look at a Germany vs Sweden comparison afresh.

RKI reported deaths represent 'died of' because Germany medical system is able to figure this out.
Sweden and Germany similar in that people naturally socially distant (not like messy UK where all spread it in pubs). Deaths per million compare attached (sorry,German but obvious).

So Germany and Sweden results now look similar (or different if you like competitions). But serious question here. @MLevitt_NP2013 suggests saturation at 500-600 / million. Is there really a big problem here with death reporting 'died of' vs 'died with'. It changes everything...