Thread by @MandarSawant184

Shiv Sena has alienated 40% Hindi, Gujarati, Rajasthani, Tamil, Telugu and Kannada speaking voters of Mumbai.
The 35% Marathi voters are not backing them fully. A large chunk of middle class and upper middle class Marathi speaking voters is now abhorring the actions of Sena.

So what's the option now. Sena needs the 22% muslim voters of Mumbai (who are heavily ghettoized and therefore less effective despite their numbers) to retain their control of BMC.
Hence you wont hear any announcements about renaming Aurangabad to Sambhajinagar (old Sena demand)

Frankly they cannot afford to do that. Also Sena might need to ally with Congress and NCP to ensure the muslim votebank does not split and BJP does not go closer to majority.

So seems the Sena now needs Cong more in Mumbai and the NCP in surrounding MMR area

Well @RahulPalkar6 who has been following Mumbai politics closely for more than 3 decades now has a contrary opinion. He says that the Sena wont directly ally with Cong in BMC elections, as it may alienate its hindutva voter base. They may do informal tieup on seats with Cong

Whatever happens the Sena has run out of Marathi pride, Mumbai being cutoff from MH cards and are struggling to find an emotive card which wins. One thing is clear Sena cant go above 70 seats on it's own. It needs Cong, NCP, SP and even AIMIM or MNS (post poll)

While BJP has a good chance of winning near majority (114 wards mark) on its own. It needs to campaign on important matters for the city, not on Ladakh or article 370 as these are not important for a local body poll.
30 yrs of Sena misrule has created a ripe situation for change