Thread by @unseen1_unseen

Some data from 2016
Black voter turnout was 59.6% or 16.4 million
White voter turnout was 65.3% or ??? hard stat to find
Asian voter turnout was 49.3% or about 5 million
Hispanic voter turnout was 47.6% or 12.7 million in 2016

total votes 136,669,276
oh let's do some math

136,669,276 total votes
-12,700,000 Hispanic votes
-5,000,000 Asian votes
-16,400,000 Black votes
=102,569,275 white votes.

So basically white votes are about 73% of the vote and minority votes are about 27%

That's kind of weird, if you listen to the fake media, whites are suppose to lose the majority soon but these numbers point to it being a long time from now. Whatever, I don't concentrate on race. I'm not a believer in demographics are destiny. Just pointing it out for people

...because if you listen to the fake media you get a total different impression on the racial makeup of the country. Granted these are voting % but they follow the general demographics.

The bigger point is you shouldn't get confused between numbers and %

Since the minority populations are small compared to the majority population a % change in that group will not mean a corresponding major move in total numbers. a 1% move in say the black vote is only 164,000 votes. A 10% move would be 1.64 million. It's less for Hispanic vote.

The following data is probably a little off because they are taken from exit polls and not final numbers but I'll use them anyway because they are close enough.

Trump won the white vote in 2016 by 58% to 37%

Grandma Pickles won the non-white vote 74% to 21%

Some conclusions from all of this. The white vote remains the most important vote out there. However, the dems desperately need minority votes to make up for the white votes they lose with their racial polices. They need the vast majority of minorities to vote for them.

So any movement by minority votes towards Trump is a bad omen for the democrat party. Let's say Trump doubles his support in minority communities which from polls seems possible. Trump won 8% of the black vote (1.3 mil) and 29% (3.7 mil) of the Hispanic vote.

which if it doubles (2.6 mil and 7.4 mil) or a 5 million vote switch from 2016 or looked at in another fashion about a 4% of the total vote this would be changed.

Assuming Trump doesn't lose voters which all evidence points to at least his base staying with him

..that switch by minority voters would translate into a small but important shift in the results of the popular vote. Whether it impacts the Electoral college and down ticket races would depend on racial make up of the particular state. I doubt it would impact the South or CA but

.....it would probably impact some Northern cities and Midwestern states maybe even places like NYC or NY. Just an educated guess by me because I don't know the racial makeup of the votes enough to make a better guess.

Still on a whole, such a move would devastate the democrat party that needs the minority populations to vote for them in supermajority numbers. If the minority populations start voting like the white population and become 60/40 or 50/50 the dems will never win again.

At least, until they change their polices and outreach efforts to include more whites. This is the danger of using race as your mainstay. What happens when people's vote no longer rests on race as their biggest reason to vote? I can think of 100 reasons to vote for someone

...that has nothing to do with the race of that person. It's easy to imagine people voting for national security, jobs or law and order over their race. As far as I can see, the dems are hung by their own petard. The more they make the campaign about race the more they lose.

The minority isn't large enough to win outright they need white voters help. The more racist the dems become the less white votes they will get, but more importantly, the less minority votes they will get because most people regardless of their race are not racists.

This is why it's a good general policy to drive out the hardcore racists from your political parties on either side not embrace them. The dems, it appears, are embracing theirs and now they have less ability to draw more people of all groups into their tent.

Personally, I think the better strategy is to ignore race and concentrate on bread and butter issues that effect all groups. The economy, jobs, safety, law and order, patriotism which, it seems, has been Trump's strategy from the start and all the "polls" are now showing that

....strategy to be working as his approval in minority groups continues to increase. Instead of divide and conquer like the dems and nevertrumpers practiced for the last 30 years, Trump seems to trying out a unite and conquer approach and so far it seems to be working.