US Update: 9/20/20
Graph 1: Daily Deaths + Current Hospitalizations
*2-Day Update
- Hospitalizations continue falling
- Reported Deaths DOWN 73+65 Week-over-Week (WoW)
/1
Graph 2: COVID ICU Census vs. Deaths (7DayAvg) vs. Daily Detected Cases
***Large dumps of backlogged deaths in many states caused an artificial spike last week
- ICUs continue dropping
- "Cases" from mass/forced college testing + case definition changes = artificial increase
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Graph 3: Daily Tests + Detected Cases + Case Positivity
*Why are so many tests being done? 2M in the last 2 days
- Tests up 329k WoW <- All from colleges?
- Detected Cases up 5,000 WoW (1.5% Positivity)
- National Positivity jumped early week but dropping quickly again
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Graph 4: Coronavirus - Census for Hospitalizations vs. ICUs vs. Ventilators
***All 3 metrics continue declining despite case inflation
- Hosps DOWN 1,201 W-o-W
- ICUs DOWN 222 W-o-W
- Vents Down 53 W-o-W (Accounts for MS +88 addition)
*Vents far lower than prior low point
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Graphs 5: Daily Estimated Cases vs. Deaths
Tests shot up to almost 1.1M, so I changed the threshold to 1.2M for daily tests in the formula.
Somehow we're testing more people despite less COVID-Like Illness (CLI).
/END
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