We continued because 2 of our 3 kids preferred it and did not want to go back, so we improved our situation by joining a co-op where they still interact with many other kids, do extracurricular activities, never see a single mask, and get exposure to much better curricula...
The co-op set the curricula and progress/milestones, but it's completely up to me to decide what we follow, what we use, how intense we do it, and how best our 3 kids learn.
So far, it's even better and is working very well. Our girls get to train (equestrian) much more...
NY School Masking - Master Thread: Summer/Fall 2021
Gov Cuomo and NYS DOH left school districts confused when removing the State of Emergency without clarifying school mask rules.
This thread shows School Districts where masks are proactively made optional:
#1 - Depew
#2 - Hamburg
Same wording. Note these districts are matching up summer school with summer camp guidance.
"...there is no material difference in risk levels or populations between our programs and summer camps."
#3 - Tonawanda
Same text again.
- Cuomo lifted the state of emergency
- NYSDOH, NYSED, and CDC guidance documents only covered the '20-'21 school year, which ended
- Legal counsel agreed with the logic
- Will re-evaluate if NYS issues new guidance
- Summer stimulus visible again like last year, though 2 weeks later
- Cases bottomed on 6/18 and have risen since but much less than 2020
- Hosp Census followed trend this past week by hitting its inflection point and turning up slightly
Reported Cases vs. Test Positivity
As is typically the case, Pos% inflected first with Reported Cases following shortly after.
Though turning up like 2020, the Pos% rate increase is much shallower and much lower overall.
Let's peek at some states compared to last year and current trends relative to NPIs.
Starting with AZ:
- Both Reported Deaths and Date of Death >50% lower
- Hosp Census 20% lower
- Positivity 36% lower despite Case Detection 84% higher
- Reported Deaths a little higher than last year but much lower than when all restrictions were removed
- Date of Death identical to last year as of 4/25
- Did not report Hosp Census until 7/10/20, but you can see the difference. Dropping quickly after a brief Spring stimulus
- Hosp Census higher than last year but down 56% since the Neanderthal comment and trending down
- Reported Deaths down 80% since the Neanderthal comment and trending down. Slightly higher than last year but converging
Lots of data to look at for AZ. Holiday behavior patterns both for residents (when they get tested) and gov't (when they process the results) are difficult to predict, so it's important to look closely at the details.
Today, 17k cases were reported, but it's important to know the difference between Report Date and Date of Specimen Collection. You see in my chart that there was a major dip in cases right when very few tests were performed on the 24th-26th despite 2 being weekdays.
Those who would have tested, but didn't, showed up to get tested on the 27-29th. Due to this, we see the 2 highest single case dates on 12/28-12/29, but the 7-day-avg is still lower than the 12/23 peak currently.