stuart mcdonald Profile picture
MBE. Partner @LCP_Actuaries. Deputy Chair CMI. Ran @COVID19actuary. Own views. Life expectancy, mortality, health, pensions, insurance, inequalities, climate.

Sep 22, 2020, 5 tweets

Latest ONS deaths data (to week ending 11 September) has been released.

505 more deaths were recorded in-week compared to the 5-year average.

Year to date there have been 14% more deaths than the 5-year average (2015-19).

There are 99 deaths where COVID-19 was mentioned on the death certificate this week, but there were also more deaths from other causes compared to the 5-year average.

Numbers are for England and Wales only and are 11-17 days old.

Non-COVID deaths were 4% above the 5-year average.

Some of the additional deaths recorded will certainly have been catchup from last week, when we saw significantly less deaths recorded than normal as a result of Bank Holiday registry office closures.

This week is the first time we’ve seen an increase in deaths where COVID-19 was on the death certificate since 17 April.

Last week’s 78 COVID deaths were artificially low due to the Bank Holiday. I wonder whether it will prove to be the low point as deaths begin to rise again?

The best way to compare 2020 to earlier years is to examine age-standardised death rates.

Comparing death counts can be distorted by age & growth of the population.

The CMI report on this basis and their next planned report is due on 6 Oct. Here is last week’s summary👇

Share this Scrolly Tale with your friends.

A Scrolly Tale is a new way to read Twitter threads with a more visually immersive experience.
Discover more beautiful Scrolly Tales like this.

Keep scrolling