As of 8 pm Wed., Ontario's regional public health units are reporting another 373 confirmed or probable COVID-19 cases, with 4 more deaths.
The 7-day avg. is 🔺 to 403 cases/day and 🔺 to 1.7 deaths/day.
First time the 7-day avg. has been north of 400 cases/day since May 26.
Accounting notes:
- Toronto reported 129 new cases but the unit's total rose by 99. In the past, this would suggest data cleaning scrubbed 30 cases, but I don't know yet if that's the case today. Regardless, my total for the day includes 129 from Toronto.
- The province's total for Toronto from the same reporting period was 102.
- The province also had 0 in Middlesex-London, but the unit reported 12.
- So: Add 30ish from Toronto and 12 from London to province's 335 from this morning, and it's much closer to what I'm seeing.
Regardless: 373 is a big drop from yesterday, isn't that good?
... yes, but it's not yet meaningful. We've had out-of-trent single days before, we don't yet know if this one is a sign of anything.
Besides, 373 is still a heckuva lot more than we were seeing just 10 days ago.
Meantime: It's reasonably clear the growth in the GTA is now outpacing the rest of the province.
Oh: I forgot to mention the running total.
It's 50,417 confirmed and probable cases, and 2,876 deaths.
(Not sure how meaningful that number is in the context of a second wave, so I'm going to refer to it less moving forward.)
Ahem: "out-of-trend"
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