there is more cause &effect in complex systems than there is in simple or complicated systems. It's just that the complex events that occur attract our attention. writing a blog now. this is very important insight. I've been saying this for 2 decades by not this clearly before
there are 4 types of cause and effects:
1) simple (obvious)
2) complicated (straightforward, but requires some thinking)
3) complex (can't been seen, made worse by coupling)
4) chaotic
The recourse for types 3 & 4 are:
* visibility
* feedback (to dampen affect)
* small steps
I'm not as interested in what type of system we have (all development is complex) as much as I am as to what type of cause and effect is present and how to compensate for bad reactions
Chaotic events can be spawned from simple, complicated or complex cause and effects
these are just anecdotal and illustrative. they are not based on data.
Consider, however, which events must be dealt with - and how.
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