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First, we need to take a scientific point of view. One of the implicit assumptions about this is that we can understand what’s going on. While many hide under the covers of our world is too complex to understand I agree with Eli Goldratt’s observation (picture) 2/


It is much harder to build a system that helps you think right from the start instead of following it, but that is easy to start with and well-defined
If we had a theory (like Flow, Lean, the Theory of Constraints) we could move the "transforming idea" up earlier & not have such a dip.
An Agile framework that can't adjust itself as we learn, or that requires a massive shift from any adopters when it does, is not Agile