9/24 Texas C-19 Hospital Census: Flat
** Census Down 70.6% since 7/22 Peak **
* Down 42 beds Week over Week (WoW)
* Census - 3204 - up 9 from 9/23
* % Beds used by C19 - down to 5.51%
* ICU C19 - 1051, down 89 WoW
* Leading Indicators analysis next
#RationalGround
1/n
2/n
Hospital Commentary:
* Note that ICU, 1/3 of total, declined by 89 WoW, while general down 42 WoW. Reduction in severe cases.
* Appears there is a false floor building
** Delayed care patients?
** Mass PCR Testing
** PCR Ct issues
** Diagnosed With, and not Of?
3/n - Case & Pos% Commentary
Test Positivity Rate (Yellow Line) is at lowest point since 6/2. Thankfully we don't use the green line that was obfuscated by Pending Assignments and was a total mess.
2nd chart - New reported cases have flattened around 3150 per day (new system)
4/n - Corona Like Illness (CLI) Chart
Similar to the traditional surveillance system used to track Influenza, CLI is a leading indicator for Corona like illness. The 7D Avg does show some uptick from an index low of 442. Now 504. Something to watch
5/n - Epidemic (EPI) Curves
TX now has an EPI curve on their dashboard. Harris County always had a good one. These show true arrival of cases, instead of batch report dates. Both show TX to be in good shape for now.
However, note the most recent dates will fill in some.
6/n - Final Commentary
* CLI something to watch
* EPI looks good
* Pos% looks good
* Hospitals may have hit a false floor due nosocomial transmission of delayed care patients, PCR CT functional False positives
* 3000/1000 might be that floor
* Need to watch leading indicators
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