Thread by @ADMBriggs

A few updates from today's @ONS COVID infection survey and @PHE_uk weekly COVID surveillance report.

ONS survey reporting now around 9,600 new infections/day in England.

Rises in all age gps, esp age 17-24y/o

ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati…

Today's @PHE_uk report with data to 20/09, shows continued rising positivity rates for pillar 1 (hospital/outbreaks, now 2%), and pillar 2 (community - now 5%).

This is inline with T&T data to 16/09 published yesterday



assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…

Still can't infer much from these data because of difficulties accessing tests, but the pillar 1 and 2 testing data match ONS, with increases continuing among 20-29y/o.

Note also though case rate rises in 30-59y/o age gps.

This is supported by ⬆️in positivity for these age gps, note really big ⬆️ positivity among age 60+. Esp as case numbers pick up.

pillar 1 positivity rates for 20-29y/o age gp may be low numbers being tested, or key worker staff, or P1 labs providing P2 cover in some setttings

NW and NE really stand out, with West Mids as well. But that masks some significant variation at sub-regional level

The surveillance data continues to highly impact on inequalities by both ethnicity and socioeconomic gp.

Although note less socioeconomic gradient for 17-19yrs, perhaps college/uni playing a role.

Plus these data don't consider any inequalities in accessing limited tests.

And here can see incidents still dominated by educational settings and care homes (but good to see fewer care homes than last week).

and in terms of where people may have picked up the virus, this graph on data b/w 10th August and 24th Sept won't tell you what causes their infection, but eating out (eat out to help out...) doesn't cover itself in glory.

And as we know, hospital and ICU admissions are really climbing.

Steep climbs inICU admissions in Midlands, NE and London are really concerning, and they're really impacting the 65-85y/o age gp.

and COVID death numbers are rising, although no signal (yet) on excess mortality.

Finally, summary coronavirus.data.gov.uk data here

And NHS T&T data summary here

Please keep trying to get a test if you have symptoms (& isolate with your household while you do), download the app if you can, isolate if you're asked to, wear a mask, wash hands, socially distance, & get help/support from your local authority if you need it.

It all helps.

ONS and PHE surviellance summary if of interest @felly500 @deb_cohen @martinmckee @carolecadwalla @mgtmccartney @ADPHUK @Jeanelleuk @fascinatorfun @profchrisham @petermbenglish
@HPIAndyCowper @Davewwest @HSJEditor @KateAlvanley
@IndependentSage @nedwards_1 @ewanbirney