It is undeniable, IMHO, that there has been an increase in spread in the upper Midwest. This is specifically in WI, the Dakotas, MT, WY, etc. This is not just on account of detection of college cases, but PCR/CLI have risen too. This does not mean a ton of deaths will follow.
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Remember those of us following both seasonality & infection thresholds have been calling this for months. Places that have not been hit hard are still susceptible to further spread. It's not an accident this is hitting a specific geography (seasonality) & places not reaching HIT
Here is a visual of CLI in HHS region 8 (CO, UT, WY, MT, ND, SD)
You can see a definite tick up the past 7-10 days in symptomatic ER visits and confirmed diagnoses.
Here is Wisconsin specifically.
You may have noticed a pattern here. It was in the south... then a month ago we started seeing people freak out because it was creeping into Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska, etc., now it's back in Montana, Dakotas, Wisconsin, Minnesota.
Again, why are there any seasonality skeptics?
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