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Kyle Lamb Profile picture
Kyle Lamb
@kylamb8
Economic analyst @flacommerce. Alum: Office of @GovRonDeSantis, @TeamDeSantis for President, @FloridaGOP. Now: TLH Then: CMH/ATL. Tweets are mine.
14 subscribers
Nov 1, 2023 • 18 tweets • 4 min read
Does the NCAA permit Michigan to use a "scouting service" to scout future opponents? Yes...but also no.

Michigan fans are clinging to a 2013 bylaw change as hope they will be spared the wrath of the NCAA. Michigan's own actions suggest they don't believe this.

A thread. The rule banning in-person scouting of future in-season opponents came in 1994. In the wake of rising athletics revenues from media rights, the difference in budgets was stark. NCAA wanted to keep schools with smaller revenue from being at a disadvantage...

2/
Mar 14, 2023 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Moody's:

"Moody’s credit analysis seeks to incorporate all issues that can materially impact credit quality, including ESG and climate risk; and aims to take the most forward-looking perspective that visibility into these risks and mitigants permits."

esg.moodys.io/esg-credit Since 2019, Moody's has been incorporating ESG/DEI into its credit ratings of businesses.

"The methodology was updated to explain further our integration of ESG in credit analysis, in particular through our ESG scores."

2/3
Feb 22, 2023 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
CDC is out here throwing data from several "multijurisdictional reports" of case rates together, despite a mountain of limitations, and presenting it as science.

These people are just doubling down on junk data. This is not at all intuitive. These jurisdictional reports do not account for previous infection, length of time between shots or other confounding variables. Worse yet, some vaccination data has proven to be incomplete and literally includes unknown status as unvaccinated. These need to be controlled for.
Jan 30, 2023 • 17 tweets • 6 min read
Three important pieces posted this past week detailing the incentives to overcount deaths associated with COVID-19. The first published in @Newsweek by @DrJBhattacharya and I. Nearly 450,000 Americans have received funeral expense reimbursement.

A COVID diagnosis makes hospitals eligible for 20% addon payments by CMS for Medicare patients (simply testing + when admitted for any reason). Further, when having COVID on the death certificate, families are eligible for funeral expense reimbursement by FEMA.

2/
Jan 30, 2023 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Befuddling NFL officiating in last few minutes of this game:

* Int. grounding called on JB, but not on PM on 2nd & 4 throw that didn't get back to LOS

* Late hit called on PM, but not on JB throw

* Missed hold & block in back on punt

* Two missed holds on PM scramble To me, I credit Mahomes for making plays, but this game was won by the KC d-line taking advantage of the Cincinnati injuries up front. But the one-sided officiating was shocking.
Jan 11, 2023 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
As some still try to fearmonger on new variants, rise in cases, etc., we are reminded it's baseless.

Here is ave. inpatient census (with) COVID-19 by week (1st axis), w/ave ICU, multiple cause of death & underlying cause (2nd axis). Notice the separation since spring of 2022. Image Blue = inpatient beds used for suspected/confirmed COVID

Orange = ICU census w/confirmed COVID

Gray = all deaths with COVID on death certificate

Yellow = all deaths where COVID was listed as primary (underlying) cause.

2/
Jan 2, 2023 • 8 tweets • 3 min read
"He led with his shoulder!" many college football fans quipped about an argument of potential targeting.

This thread exposes why people saying that don't understand the targeting rules in college football. To be fair, I don't think the officials apply it evenly, either.

1/ If you want to follow along, here is a link to the 2022 NCAA official rules book. You can find the targeting of a defenseless player rule on FR-93 (p. 96 of the PDF) in Rule 9, Art. 4

2/
 ncaapublications.com/productdownloa…
Dec 29, 2022 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
This is a color-coded visualization of risk ratios by month and age group compared to 15-24 used as the reference (how many more times likely a group is likely to see COVID-19 mortality in a month based on per capita rates). Method: each age group uses April 1, 2020 census estimates as base population and monthly mortality is CDC Wonder underlying cause of death from NCHS.

Per 1M monthly average for 15-24 (1.67 deaths per million) is used as reference. Color scales are set at 30/50/70 percentile.
Dec 27, 2022 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
I see some bad faith arguments about the vaccines from both sides. But one I want to correct is about the impact it's had on mortality.

CDC data show from Oct. 2021 through Oct. 2022 about 115,000 deaths among unvaccinated and 75,000 from vaccinated.

1/
data.cdc.gov/Public-Health-… Note that these numbers assume someone is unvaccinated when vaccination status is unknown (as sometimes records don't immediately reflect it upon death).

IRR show a decrease in mortality rates, especially older ages. But the idea that they are preventing all disease is false
Dec 15, 2022 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Absurd. In the last week of September 2021, there were 1,091 deaths recorded to vaccinated people of all ages/vaccines (3,687 unvax'd), which represented an IRR of 7.7. The IRR, just under a year later in Aug. 2022, was down to 2.75.

They're lowering risk, but this is wrong. This is from CDC data.

data.cdc.gov/Public-Health-…
Dec 15, 2022 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
Literally in the past 6 months, the case fatality rate is not 3% in the United States... it's about 0.3%.

The @nytimes is setting a record pace this week for misinformation @VPrasadMDMPH Note: this calculation is based on COVID-19 being classified as the underlying cause of death (considered by the attending physician or medical examiner to having directly caused the chain of events leading to death). It's a little higher if you include mentions on certificate.
Dec 11, 2022 • 9 tweets • 4 min read
From @CDCgov

...Masks are not usually recommended in non-healthcare settings; however, this guidance provides other strategies for limiting the spread of influenza viruses in the community."

Page last reviewed: March 5, 2019

More from CDC (1/ )

cdc.gov/flu/profession… From 2009 during the H1N1 outbreak on why they aren't recommended in community settings.

"Information on the effectiveness...for decreasing the risk of influenza infection in community settings is extremely limited."

2/
web.archive.org/web/2010010621…
Dec 10, 2022 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
Did you know... the last 6 months with provisional mortality data on CDC Wonder (April 2022 - October 2022), in those 31 weeks, underlying cause of death resulting from cases offset by 4 weeks prior was a 0.26% case fatality rate.

Same weeks 2021: 1.27%
2020: 2.90% At this point, there is little question with some protection both from prior infection and vaccine-induced protection against *severe* disease (certainly neither is stopping infection/reinfection much at all), the IFR is extremely low. Probably far lower than seasonal flu.
Dec 9, 2022 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
This is important, and frankly concerning. This chart shows excess mortality (using 2019 as the baseline) by month and 10-year age group (15-24 through 85+) with COVID-19 underlying cause of death removed.

In other words, deaths above 2019 after COVID-19 removed. This shows that even after COVID-19 is excluded, in age groups 15-24, 25-34, and 35-44, mortality was 30-40 percent higher than 2019 in some months in mid and late 2021 and early 2022.
Nov 20, 2022 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Unless something drastically unforeseen happens, Georgia, Ohio State and Michigan are now all three pretty much in the playoff. Everyone else is fighting for the last spot. Y’all are seeing things. A one loss USC team is not jumping the OSU-Michigan loser unless the game is a total beat down. If it’s a close loss, especially for Michigan, that team is staying ahead of USC. Period.
Oct 14, 2022 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
EUA fact sheet for @pfizer vaccine notes "observed risk is higher among adolescent males and adult males under 40 years of age than among females and older males" for myocarditis and pericarditis.

They label @FLSurgeonGen "misinformation" for not recommending to males <40. Here is the fact sheet link, updated two days ago, Oct. 12, 2022.

labeling.pfizer.com/ShowLabeling.a…
Sep 2, 2022 • 16 tweets • 4 min read
You might be a fascist if you:

- Don't want children sexualized
- Want parents to have a say in education
- Believe in election security
- Are against forced masking, vaccination, and indoctrination
- Want free speech

Let's roll the tape to see real fascism, shall we?

1/ Following are examples of measures employed by the same people that wish to label patriotic Americans as extremists because they dare dissent to Progressive narratives. These are the people that redefine fascism, recessions, prior immunity, etc.

Let's begin...

2/
Jun 7, 2022 • 7 tweets • 1 min read
A new report authored by the state Auditor General is being purported by some in the media to claim cases and deaths were "undercounted" in Florida.

This is absolutely false.

The report does not state that. It is being misunderstood and misrepresented.

1/ Differences in reporting are solely due to the definition and purpose. State surveillance, like every other state, generally follows CSTE/CDC guidelines which counts "associated" deaths following a positive test.

2/
May 28, 2022 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
This study replicated an oft-cited CDC study from July through Sep. 4, 2001, claiming masks had an impact on case rates.

This study took it to October and had a 6x larger sample size of data. They found "no significant relationship" between mask mandates and case rates. The study they replicated from the CDC can be found here:
cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/7…
May 24, 2022 • 19 tweets • 6 min read
In the past year, the Biden administration has made confusing, conflating, contradicting and condescending statements about inflation, energy costs and supply chain disruptions.

It's alarming just how many have been made. Let's take a trip down memory lane in this thread.

1/ After initially denying inflation was happening, Jen Psaki said May 10, 2021, that inflation impact will be "temporary, transitory."

2/
May 21, 2022 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
I think we all agree that price gouging is, philosophically speaking, wrong in a crisis. But one party in Congress is trying to manufacture this as a problem to absolve blame of their own failed policies.

Regularly, gross margins on gas run only ~10% over cost with 1-2% profit. Some of you folks need to consider nuance before responding. Price gouging is charging above and beyond what's reasonable and fair, even after taking into account supply and demand. Raising prices because of limited supply or increased demand is not gouging.