Thread by @Gilesyb

This Economist piece is the best summary of the estimated knowledge of Covid so far and is worth showing some highlights economist.com/briefing/2020/… via @TheEconomist

1. We have had million recognised deaths, possibly there are a million more unrecorded 1/

2. We had no idea at the time but the world was probably seeing 1m infections a day at end Jan, a figure that may have peaked at 5m/day early May.

3. Probably 500m-730m have been infected so far, 6-9% of global population

4. The risk of death rises 13% with every year of age.

5. The ratio of official Covid deaths to actual Covid deaths varies. In the States, the likely figure is 30% above the official figure of 200k

6. It appears the best country response figures stem from brilliant and observed test and trace, which handles super-spreader events. A single Boston conference may have ultimately caused 20,000 infections

7.but Britain's test and trace system lags the world best on several dimensions

8. No, Sweden is not your poster child, libertarians. Not on the data

9. Superior case management is helping lower mortality rates. Good... BUT

10. Fatigue >>> lower compliance, and over optimistic faith in a vaccine could really damage social distancing

Some of my timeline is very snooty about the Economist for its neoliberal approach. I don't care - I don't think another magazine approaches it in some regards